Jebman

How reputable is the National Center for Atmospheric Research? Are they just weenies like myself? If they ARE reputable and not just crazy El Nino weather weenies like myslef, then we are in serious, serious trouble folks. South Central Texas is in a BAD BAD BAD BAD drought, and people are moving here and sucking up all of the Ogallala waters at a frightening rate. I crave record rains in Buda. I want 900 quintillion year rains. I am so SCARED of running out of the water! I want a Harvey to spin over south central Texas for weeks. We need rain so bad, so damn bad that I want a billion year/magnitude Nino, to last years and years and years.

Your prayers are answered. Nino will not warm you this winter but it will bring above avg moisture. All your ski resorts will be jumping for joy. The lowlands will, too. This is going to be a winter to remember, all up and down the Eastern Seaboard. I am pulling for everyone back East to get buried ALIVE by snow this winter. There are a ton of meteorological forcings in play! Get ready, this is gonna be a very enjoyable ride!

This winter will be one to remember. All those forcings are going to bring incredibly excessive rains and also palisadic-magnitude snows in places that usually do not get ridiculous snows. Like the Washington DC Region this winter. I want those meteorological papers made available to the average person, because I will download, read then memorize every last one of them. One will be about a blizzard in the DC/MD/Va region.

BOSTON has had over 40 inches of precip in 2023. You all are definitely in for a very very snowy winter. It WILL eclipse 2014-2015. Nino will load you up with moisture then dump it as extremely deep snow. You better get your Jebman Shovels NOW!

We have a winnah.

We have a winnah. That, is just what IS going to happen in DCA THIS Christmas! Mason Dixon will get 40-50 inches and DC will get 28-40 inches of snow. It will not change to liquid. It will be all snow. It will be very cold then Part 2 will annihilate the DC region AGAIN on New Years Eve! These snow amounts may turn out to be ridiculously conservative.

It's fixed. DC will get demolished by a massively White Christmas. Everyone in the Washington DC Metropolitan Region will get snowed in and will get unprecedentedly DRUNK.

Mid Atlantic is wayyyyyyyyy OVERDUE for a massive snow winter. And, it is coming. BIG-TIME! In spades! Get your Jebman Shovels. massive amounts of grub and IPA's and whatever it is you drink to stay awake. Models will be printing out a TON of heavy snow for DC and vicinity. How do you know this? Jeb said so. That's ALL you need to know.

Atmospheric River is gonna smash the Pac Northwest! This is really early...... https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/atmospheric-river-early-season-bomb-cyclone-to-hit-pacific-northwest/

It will, and once again, I am jealous as all heck. It's 101, 70 dewpoint feels like 109. No rain at all in our forecast. Enjoy it, Mid Atlantic. You are all gonna get buried ALIVE come Christmas! EDIT: It is now 102 with a 70 dewpoint and it feels like 111.

It was a lot more rain than I have seen in a while.

........and that's a wrap, folks. Nice storm!

Why wait? You can enjoy it AND watch the oncoming bowling ball.

If you squint your eyes and try real hard, you could almost imagine that it is wind blown heavy snow.

Have a lot of fun and stay safe. By the way, could you all please send us an inch of your rain please? lol

Okay, probably not demolished, but you'll get rained on pretty good. It should be a drought buster. That buzzsaw to your south, it is developing additional showers ahead of it. You guys have a lot of rain to get thru today into tonight! Meanwhile in other news, where I am at it is 99/70 with a heat index of 106 lol.

That pinwheel in central VA is gonna baste some communities with a good amount of rain. It's spinnin' like a buzzsaw and loaded with torrential tropical rain. Someone is gonna get demolished.

meh !!!

Naso fast. You guys are gonna get Demolished this winter.

Nice shield of rain inbound. I am sooooooooo jealous.

Absolutely IMPRESSIVE! You sure have a ton of skillsets!

Medium to strong El Nino PLUS abnormally elevated sea surface temps. It's starting. Eastern Seaboard will get smashed BAD by recurrent rains throughout low sun season. Does not take very much to spin up one of these Ophelias, or just a casual low pressure system that gets going, strengthens off the warm Gulf Stream waters, and then conveniently slows down. The soils will get saturated. Everywhere. Then we will enter a brand new era, a time of near constant flood watches, near-constant flood warnings. Might need a new Flood Intensity Scale. When we reach the phase change weather, when it changes to snow, look out commutageddon, after commutageddon, after commutageddon, after commutageddon. You'll see a ton of fight vids on YouTube. People fighting over parking spaces, fighting in rage over plows piling 9 foot snow berms over driveway entrances. You might not realize this now, snow enthusiasts, but digging the wet snow is going to get tedious, especially when a little rain gets on it. The Nino will not spare. It will be storm after storm after storm after storm, floods in freezing cold winter weather, ice, and even more torrential snow. People not being able to get to work, people slippin on ice and going to the hospital, and the Nino plus abnormally warm ocean temps globally will just keep on piling storm upon storm. Pineapple Expresses and atmospheric rivers will have Gulf and deep Pacific connections and will just pile it on and on and on. Models are showing the Southeast gets the very worst of the Nino. Texas gets December, after that it shifts to the Southeast and rains and rains. All kinds of abnormal storms will crash into the Southeast and flood them to death, right into July 2024. They might even get demolished by snows in deep winter! They will have many chances to time storms down there.

FANTASTIC SUNSET PIC! I am jealous right now.

I envy you all the rain. I'd be happy with only an inch for mby, but alas I am too far WSW lmao

That subtropical jet is already gonna be a beast. Saw this on X. (Twitter rebranded to X back in April.) Western ski resorts are REALLY going to get unprecedentedly Palisaded this winter.