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Jebman

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Everything posted by Jebman

  1. Mets, I would like a full post mortem on just what happened with this storm. Thanks
  2. Congrats everyone! This has definitely been an incredible storm. Just WOW!
  3. Snow filling back in in SE Prince William County.
  4. This is from near Balto https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Snow is overspreading the entire region at this time and all the way back through the Ohio Valley. It took a bit to moisten up the column, but most areas starting to report snow now, and it is already beginning to cover area roadways. Low pressure is off the Carolina coast and tracking northeast this morning. The upper level shortwave responsible for this is located over the midwest at this time, but is quickly moving in our direction. It is expected to dive south and east through the day today, with the core of shortwave energy pushing through southern VA. This will put northern VA into central MD in prime position underneath the left exit region of a potent 150+ kt jet streak in the upper levels. Overnight guidance continued an upward trend as far as QPF is concerned, so came up about a half a tenth to a tenth of an inch in that department, given very strong forcing. Given the strong dynamics aloft, an inverted trough axis will likely develop well to the NW of the offshore surface low. With the cold airmass and a deepening DGZ to around 150 mb, snowfall in some areas may very well overperform beneath wherever this trough axis sets up. The overnight guidance was very persistent in the placement of this trough axis from northern VA up into central NJ. This is why an uptick in QPF was noted before. Thus, have decided to upgrade those areas to Winter Storm Warnings for this event. It will likely be very borderline given how progressive the system is, but under the band of heaviest snowfall, some could see rates near an inch per hour at times. Lingering low-level moisture, increasing MUCAPE in the BL (stretching up into a lowering DGZ), and lift via continued PVA ahead of a trailing wave, could cause at least scattered snow shower activity to linger through late Friday afternoon or evening. Overnight hi-res guidance was again persistent in developing some northwest flow streamers as far south and east as the I-95 corridor and I-66 corridor. Worth watching, as some of these bands could produce some locally heavy snowfall in spots. Generally though, expect another coating to an inch from lingering snow showers this afternoon/evening.
  5. I am absolutely ecstatic right now, absolutely happy for you all! Pile it right on up! Enjoy!
  6. You hit double jeopardy: WAA BOOM + Pivot snow.
  7. Anyone up in NW DC? How much they got there?
  8. Fixed. Because that's what this is.
  9. You guys are going to get absolutely PUMMELED! In fact, 1.3 inch per hour snow rates in some communities constitutes a DEMOLISHING! Consider yourselves NAM'MED.
  10. Four fo sure. Maybe even 5. Radar coverage is increasingly encouraging.
  11. Extrapolation of radars makes me wag 2.5 to 3 inches Dale City, 4 inches Washington DC, 4 to 5 inches Cleveland Park in DC and about 6 to 8 inches in Central MD. Eight to 12, maybe 14 in the mountains with this. I need a WxRisk map.
  12. Ebullient is gonna be The Name of The Game up in here in a few more hours! A pummeling is in order and Tracker will be shouting FOLKS!
  13. I am The Jebman and I say IT'S GAME ON! BRING IT!
  14. YOU'RE getting 6 inches plus from this.
  15. Snowshoe is getting destroyed https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam
  16. Scraff's updating his Beer Index, is what is going to save the sub and the rest of the Winter.
  17. Oh, I know all about that next arctic blast Brrrrrrrr. Then all next week we get to have some rain !!!!!!!!!!
  18. Its going to hit 73 degrees on Thursday in Buda! And I'm LOVING IT!
  19. I dont want Cliffs Notes. I enjoy PSU's Dissertations! Please, PSU, please tell us all about it! I am going to take massive notes then record the entire Tome with happiness and pure joy! I'd also love it if all the Meteorologists would do dissertations on the weather, using full-on jargon. I understand it all and could easily hold court with all the Mets. I WUB THIS STUFF with all my heart!!!!!! I dont just want PSU's Tome, I demand ALL the meteorologists' Tomes, all 985 decillion of them! I want every last one! I'll spend DAYS ON END studying them!
  20. You'll get a couple inches of snow with the next storm. Models may be offering up more once they catch up. Kind of like the last storm.
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