Dark Star

Disagree. Models are tools, the meteorologist must interpret the outcome.

There is a physical limit to the amount of home runs, as well as pitchers giving intentional passes (even with ADHD medication, which Bonds was also taking)...

Yes and no...

The climatological change is something gradual. We shouldn't even notice it (in an abrupt way). More than likely we have already been experiencing it.

I was wondering what the large splotchy type raindrops were from. Guess it was melted flakes? How do we get another inch of rain tomorrow?

My only complaint about '96 was that the towns and oounties never opened up turning lanes. They just piled up the snowbanks on the road. Commuting was a nightmare for many weeks. Public Works Departments never took the initiative to remove the large snow piles from the road. The 29.5" storm was amazing. It just kept coming down, and coming down, and even more coming down...

Totally agree. If by the end of January the pattern shows little prospect, you can begin to write off winter. There are exceptions of course...

Just an opinion: if there is no true arctic air to feed in, and the storm is a very slow mover, I would say this is mainly a rainmaker?

Almost sounds like last winter?

CBD don't do nuttin'

This really filled in nicely...

Wind forecasts generally do underperform.

Supposedly another volcano in Russia is a possibility as well. I think it takes about 6-12 months before the effects on the weather (if any) begin to take place?

If there is a major volcanic event in the northern hemisphere, what is the general lag time to affect the weather globally (or is this a ridiculous question)?

I'd rather see a 4' snowstorm...

I guess I must not have paid attention enough, because I never saw any awesome snow piles from the recent lake effect system. It all looked about 4 feet high in and around Orchard Park, and not the 6+ feet recorded. Did a lot compress or melt during the period?

There are hundreds of Poly fluoryl aklyl substances. Health studies have only confirmed multiple ill effects on mice. I'm not a health expert, so I'm not sure of the absolute link between animal and human health. It s beleived that some PFAS substances are worse than others. I have heard of the 1965 incident. However, the US government knew about negative health effects in cows since at least the 1970s. Now all of a sudden they have a hard on to eradicate all PFAS. We did ban PCBs and chlorofluor-carbons, but there was more solid evidence of the health effects on humans. If PFAS is as bad as the EPA is telling us, why are they not being banned outright. Is it possible the government does not want ANY industrial manufacturing in the United States?

I do not advocate hunting, but you can't ignore it was a way of life, and for some, still is. What some don't understand is the hunters and environmentalists want the same thing: open space and a sustainable animal population.

How does one chase lake effect? Certainly don't want to drive right into it, or you're likely be stuck in your car (hopefully not an electric). Somehow, you would have to forecast the exact location, find some rental shelter, with a place where your car is also sheltered, have somebody plow you out. It's not like trying to find a tornado. You drive to an area, forecast for potential development, and hopefully spot one and drive away from it. To truly experience lake effect, I think you would have to be in it for a day or two?

My wife just reported flurries in Garwood NJ?! (cental Union county)

Shoot, this only has me with 5.7"...................

I thought I heard them here in Jersey, but I thought I was hearing things (again)...

What was the source?

Thought I saw "smoke" along the NJ GSP Ocean to Monmouth counties...

So the earth has warmed about 1.8 degrees since the 1800s. Understandably, this is not uniform across the globe. Recently, the NYC metro area seems to greatly exceed that, which should mean that there are other areas that are "below normal"? Certainly the poles are above normal as evidenced by the glacier melting rate. We are being told that temperatures in Central and South America near the equator are getting warmer as well, which they say is one reason for the unprecendented migration. Again, the NYC metro area has been way above average almost every month for the last several years. This is explained by the unusually high Pacific ocean temperatures causing circulataions to bring warmer air straight up to Alaska and affect the normal jet stream patterns. Is the global warming causing this pattern to continue in an endless cycle, which would seem to suggest that global warming will increase even greater than the greenhouse gases effect (alone)? And where are the below normal temperature areas been occuring? As an aside, I find it astonishing that scientists agreed on the CFCs causing the ozone layer holes, and people acted accordingly. I assume there is not an agreed upon (objective) model proving global warming? Are the patterns so complex that you cannot develop a reliable model to predict global warming due to greenhouse gases? I would assume yes, as they found that the oceans did absorb some of the CO2, and throw one theory into a crash and burn. I am in the camp that believes the greenhouse gases are causing global warming. How to address it is another matter.