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WxKnurd

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  1. WxKnurd
    Regarding my area, we were the last part to be put in drought conditions according to the US drought monitor and we are only at Abnormally Dry. It’s just been weeks behind when I thought leaves would be changing. We did have some brown out on some trees early but it was a noticeable difference between when I left 10/9 and yesterday. Lots of yellows and now oranges starting to show up. Beef Market Top has full coverage up high of yellow and orange colors, reds are lacking so far from what I’ve seen (Cumberland plateau north of Knoxville has plenty though as I just drove it earlier).
  2. WxKnurd
    Color is starting to look great here in the Balsams, came back from Colorado to leaves really starting to show yellowish and orange tints here in the neighborhood and you can tell on the mountain across 74 that things are in full force heading towards peak color as you get up past 4500'. I bet when I get back from Ohio Halloween week I'll have missed peak here.
  3. WxKnurd
    Good to see things are coming along at home, in Colorado elk hunting (well I’m done now since I filled my tag opening evening on Saturday, just been packing neat out since). Was a crisp -1 Friday morning at 10k feet! Temps have slowly been warming to average, which is where it will stay the rest of our time out here. Love the mountains, whether they are at home or here in the Western Rockies!
  4. WxKnurd
    If I remember from when We were buying, there were homes ranging from 200k all the way up to 450-500k in Wolf Laurel. I tried to push the wife real hard on a couple homes in there along with one over in between Barnardsville and Burnsville but she nixed that idea due to her having to get out when it snowed and I’m out of town for work. I don’t know what the big deal is about a bunch of snow above 4000’.....
  5. WxKnurd
    We were looking at Weaverville, Marshall, Mars Hill and Burnsville before we ended up West of Waynesville in Balsam Gap. Its 45 min to Asheville from our place, same as from Burnsville. Weaverville puts you at 15 min, Marshall is around 30-45 which is the same as Mars Hill. Have only spent the last couple months of winter (Feb through April this year) at the new place, but managed to get a dusting in really the last minor event of the season while town was just wet. So that said, get above 3000' IMO to increase your snow chances; the higher the better of course. We don't get as good of flow snow as they do over on Soco Gap or north of 40 in Haywood from what I've seen thus far but we do seem to sit at one of the precip max areas of the county it seems like. As far as other areas when it comes to flow snow, the four I listed seem to all do good, especially Mars Hill and Burnsville.
  6. WxKnurd
    And some know the fish bite better on Norman the colder and nastier it is lol
  7. WxKnurd
    Rain two days in a row, much needed! Lots of widespread showers and storms over the mountains today, hope most places can get some.
  8. WxKnurd
    81 down in town around noon and was 74 up here on the gap. Clouds have rolled in now, actually looks like a good early Fall day looking out the living room with leaves starting to change and a nice cloud cover. Hoping that chance of showers pans out, somehow managed to have some rain last week whereas other parts of the county and region weren't as lucky.
  9. WxKnurd
    Next one is on its way, I’ve just missed the bad leading edge last night and this morning where I am working in Indiana. Same areas taking a beating 12 hours apart and they didn’t need any more heavy rain up here with the local flooding.
  10. WxKnurd
    Officially a resident of Haywood County. Always said I’d have a log home in the mountains one day and am proud to say I’m a log homeowner at 3350’ now, hard work still gets you what you want!
  11. WxKnurd
    Is it bad I am taking into account elevation and winter weather prospects when we head to look at houses in Haywood County tomorrow? I didn’t think so either...
  12. WxKnurd
    I’ve fared a little better here NW of town but have had higher totals all around me since building over here 7 years ago. Always something whether anemic rates, tiny flake size, sleet, etc. Kills me as growing up in northern Catawba County always put me on the good size of these kind of storms. Wife wants to move back home to somewhere around Asheville so hopefully this time next year I’ll be posting from 3000+ feet.
  13. WxKnurd
    Colder look makes sense if you look at current conditions, the high pressure back around the Lakes is 1038, 850’s are good, 925 looking good.
  14. WxKnurd
    Spruce Pine could be do able, I know once you get to Burnsville Hwy 19 is 4 lane limited access all the way to 26.
  15. WxKnurd
    Looks like it actually ticked up about .4", from 4.21" and plumes done snowing at 15 compared to 4.61" and some plumes still snowing. HKY went from 11.98" to 9.73" but again, more plumes showing it still showing it snowing.
  16. WxKnurd
    Then that makes the other maps that were confusing us when compared with the current forecasted amount map make sense now, probably also automated via WPC suite.
  17. WxKnurd
    Oh I agree, just pointing out that the expected map makes no sense when you factor in all the other product maps they put out with it. And that’s the only reasoning I could think of, which makes sense when you look at the disco about QPF and sleet SW of Asheville. Seems like their reasoning is banks on snow being rate driven given the thermal profile.
  18. WxKnurd
    Just scrolled through their maps, the high end matches up with model output but then when you look at expected and then scroll through the “% of x inches”, it makes no sense why they went with what they did. only thing I can figure is they see this mainly a CAD region storm in regards to snow as the ice accumulation map is highest SW of Asheville.
  19. WxKnurd
    Yes and INT is the code for Winston’s airport.
  20. WxKnurd
    HKY mean for SREF plumes was right at 12”, CLT was touch over 4”. Both had a total QPF a touch a few hundredths over 2”. But the sref burned us last year even up to go time, plus it’s at the long-range time period of this short range model.
  21. WxKnurd
    Yes, you want the 850 Low to track to your south.
  22. WxKnurd
    Could also aid moisture transport (not that it’s really needed in this setup) if you have a positive tilt to it. But those things are a nowcast issue.
  23. WxKnurd
    The crusher of hopes and dreams lol. These big storms are always hard to start and stay all snow for us, even growing up around Hickory you’d have some sleet and then a glaze of freezing rain to end. My issue the past few storms at my place besides the sleet has been terrible dendrite growth. Everyone will be talking about big fat flakes and I’ll be getting hit with dime size or smaller.
  24. WxKnurd
    Phil’s Coefficient radarscope will be getting a workout by me for this one, like always these last few years.
  25. WxKnurd
    Allan or Brandon does. Basically for a HKY blockbuster a Miller A track around CHS and up the coast is best, CLT was SAV or Jacksonville and riding just a bit further off coast. If I remember correctly.
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