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psuhoffman

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Everything posted by psuhoffman

  1. psuhoffman
    I think that’s what he is saying. There is no way that cold doesn’t make it here given where it’s directed. Maybe not to the level guidance shows. But I think he is hinting the models might be pressing the boundary too far SE which I agree with.
  2. psuhoffman
    It was about to lay down the hammer. It was significantly more amplified than 12z. EPS trended that way also. I’ll take that trade off to lose 1” Sunday lol.
  3. psuhoffman
    Is ncep concerned that they’ve fallen even further behind?
  4. psuhoffman
    That is a HUGE jump from 0z
  5. psuhoffman
    No, I think the Northern Neck is going to get so much sleet... I would hate to live there
  6. psuhoffman
    You're point and caution are correct, but I think this setup has more of a chance then that ever did. That required a more complicated phase to pull off and it was never really on anything except the GFS, wasn't even all that close on any other guidance. The "foundation" for this storm is there across guidance. But it's still not the most likely outcome at this range...but I think its more likely then that last one was.
  7. psuhoffman
    I just need to make sure everyone knows it shows sleet in central VA just in case they missed it
  8. psuhoffman
    The euro shows sleet in the northern neck
  9. psuhoffman
    ZWYTS, Deck Pic
  10. psuhoffman
    Did you hear some brothers down in NC invented a flying machine???
  11. psuhoffman
    BTW, the euro doesn't fully phase, it splits the energy and still pulls that off, that was not even the max solutions...it left a little meat on the bone believe it or not. BUT looking further out...look what the op euro just did in the long range also...its starting to show up on more and more guidance. There is a LOT of uncertainty where we are heading after next week.
  12. psuhoffman
    And the euro had those exact adjustments... that NS SW is digging down into the Dakotas and it has a bit more SER and BOOM
  13. psuhoffman
    It has a better track record than JB then
  14. psuhoffman
    Matt expected this last night...he was just one run too soon on his call.
  15. psuhoffman
    Ji needs to complain more often, I see a pattern
  16. psuhoffman
    Glacier
  17. psuhoffman
    I don't like to bet against Bob.
  18. psuhoffman
    GFS was SUPER close to this solution too...when I looked at the H5 I was like...hmmm this was a hair away from a big snowstorm so I am not totally shocked something spit out this solution.
  19. psuhoffman
    BOOM
  20. psuhoffman
    It has more "snow" into 95 than those maps indicate, but surface temps must be keeping accumulations down but I am talking about what comes NEXT
  21. psuhoffman
    EURO!!!!!!
  22. psuhoffman
    Euro looks decent to me
  23. psuhoffman
    I've said for years 2014 was a LOT of luck and that pattern is unlikely to produce that degree of positive snowfall anomaly if repeated. But I think if we continue long enough we are likely to continue to get enough snow to end up in a decent place. We have had 2 snows already since the truly cold pattern set in around Jan 5 and it's not like there are no threats at all showing up, just maybe not the MECS/HECS level ones people wanted.
  24. psuhoffman
    I would take my chances on a -EPO/AO/NAO in February!
  25. psuhoffman
    Have you noticed there is a minority but not insignificant camp of guidance that now tanks the AO/NAO again around day 10!
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