psuhoffman

Ok rgem calms my soul some

I had hoped 12z meant we finally stopped the bleeding. But what’s come out so far 18z resumed what had been the trend prior to 12z and in most cases lost all progress from 12z and ended worse than their 6z runs! hopefully rgem/gfs/euro come in bucking this trend but so far a major amp trend with the primary across 18z

These 18z runs continued that trend...that wasn't the issue...the problem was around hour 36 they go berserk with the primary to our west and amp the system like crazy. A little better high and damming won't offset that. That's like throwing a couple poker chips on one side of the scale and then dropping a piano on the other.

wow what did it show 12z for this area then because it cut our snow in half on the publicly available maps lol

problem is that's it...the warm layer has blasted all the way into PA by then...so pretty much we all end up with 6-7" which is fine for DC but for places NW of 95 it took away 6" of snow from the last run that had 10-12" in places

NAMs don't bother me, the jump around run to run like crazy...but what do you know about the RRFS because it looked great at 12z and just want WAY WAY north... I don't know enough about it to know whether that should bother us or not

Hopefully the RRFS sucks

Both NAM's were colder and better out to 36 hours then went off the rails...once they got into less reliable ranges.

High was a little further south with better damming signal into the mid atlantic this run. Minor but we only need minor improvements here

includes sleet

Finishes looking at the HRRR

This is what I am thinking

I definitely understand taking a step back. And I hope the health thing has been resolved! The kids are doing good, getting too big too fast. Hope all is well... maybe I'll do another BBQ this summer...it's been too long!

You came to the right place... you will find everyone in here is very sympathetic to the plight of Boston