psuhoffman

We never have a good chance of an all snow event in any pattern

But that has nothing to do with my point. You’re focused on this synoptic setup and I’m focused on something that’s skewing the underlying pattern behind the synoptic setup

Depends on whether there is a storm or not. It will be a lot warmer if it’s sunny than raining or snowing.

We snowed with a -pna in the past. Not when it’s -4stdv you’re right. But why is it that when the pna goes negative it’s never -1 it’s -3 now? You’re beating around it.

Chuck even recently 75% of the globe is red. We just got lucky the tiny speck of cold was over us. But what about the rest of the time? How do we snow when we’re not lucky enough to have the rare cold anomaly over us when the rest of the globe is a hopeless torch of +anomalies too warm to us to snow. You said it. We don’t her marginal anymore. Because the whole planet is tiny pockets of cold surrounded by warmth.

You were sooooo close

You serious? Depends on the situation. For example I’ve been forced to advocate for positions I knew were weak and not clear winning arguments. What you do in those cases is very different. Then it becomes about minimizing damage. Attempting to deflect and exaggerate. But if you know the point you want to make is valid…1) focus on 2-3 points no more. 2) know how to articulate it clearly. 3) don’t let the other person deflect. When they try to take the debate off on a tangent redirect and reframe it back where you need it.

ok so why aren’t we getting marginal setups anymore!

Don’t

Yea but if heights are higher now, and the are, when the pacific configuration is hostile it’s more hostile. That’s my whole point. We don’t her marginal anymore. We get either good or hopeless which means the marginal part of our past snow climo is now missing. You’re so close but you’re twisting yourself into a pretzel to ignore the common threads tying this all together.

I know the answer. I’m asking YOU!

JFC I was starting to think I wasn’t articulating well enough.

That’s the period I am taking about Chuck. I said find me another period In the fucking past close to that level of warm anomaly

It’s like my points go right through you. It was cold because the whole other was perfect. I’m talking about when the pattern is not good. We torch anytime the pattern is bad because the pac is overwhelming now because heights are higher and so when there is a n pac ridge it’s not +100 it’s 400.