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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. 00z canadian was about to do it then had just about the worst modeling I have ever seen of bombogenesis
  2. at 500, 12z UK is a lot better than 0z, ICON is worse than 0z. Neither really translate.
  3. Canadian wrapping up better but probably too far south to make a difference.
  4. FWIW I do believe models are struggling with bombogenesis, but with most of the runs its already too far east to matter.
  5. I'd rather be where we are now than where we were at 12z or 00z last night. Have a good sleep y'all.
  6. Yep, a lot less OTS outliers and the cluster shifted a fair bit NW
  7. EPS 00z Mean is NW of 12z, don't think its enough though.
  8. EPS might come in way more NW than op if the 500mb looks that much better. Will say the euro looks leaps and bounds better than it did at 12z, but not as good as 18z (at least aifs)
  9. GFS: Good, waiting for north trend NAM: Good Canadian: looked good before weird surface modeling Euro OP: West Euro AIFS: West Icon: West UKL West
  10. Just checked 700 and 850 temps on the most aggresive runs and we're nowhere near the danger zone thank god I would have ended it
  11. still haven't seen a screenshot of the 18z run that isn't a single ensemble member.
  12. I wouldn't even be mad if a fujiwhara effect screwed us out of snow. This is some 1991 Perfect Storm shit.
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