WxUnit

Pretty good cell going in West Virginia. Tagged for a possible tornado as well.

A nice secondary band appears to have formed further west. Moderate snow and 28.8⁰F.

The band looks to be expanding out a little more each radar scan. Would love to see it expand out into the burbs for everyone. Would be great to see.

Returns coming out of Delaware are very encouraging!

Current sitting at 34.5⁰F with light snow falling. No accumulation yet, probably won't see much until late afternoon.

For reference at six hours out...

Either the GFS or EURO are totally wrong. Whats weird is it starts with the difference in northern stream about 6 hours out. So strange and unprecedented to my eye.

His reasoning is mainly the positive NAO. He just doesn't think the storm is ever going to tilt negative, which by now its conceivable it almost certainly will. He just sees a progressive and positive orientation.

To keep a long story short, Hurricane still doesn't buy the GFS solution. Though he does like 4-8 for the city with a chance for more.

For what its worth he was going off the 12z runs rather then the 18z runs.

Check out the precipitation shift between 12z and 18z on the EPS. As PSU mentioned, right here it looks like the coastal being closer helps to intensify the inverted trough. I'm trying to keep expectations in check but it sure feels good to be back in the game for this one!

I am really encouraged by the trend on the last few GEFS runs. Continues to bring the cluster of lows closer to the coast and decrease the spread of the members. Great to see at this range.

Clearly a trend towards a more tucked solution on the past few GFS runs. Though its always good to keep expectations in check since it is happy hour and it is the GFS.

Too bad its way out there...