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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. Don't think it lasts. I'd love if it did. A lot of modeling showed a bit of a warmer push before low stacks overnight. Not sure if that continued in latest runs.
  2. Top 5 spring storm for scoot if that day after tomorrow solution verified.
  3. Imagine if this backs in 1/8sm, 70mph winds from Massachusetts Bay
  4. 1015 PM Update... * High Impact/Major Winter Storm with 1-2 feet of heavy wet snow & power outages into Tue for northern ORH Hills/Berks * Rain overnight in most lower elevations which will eventually transition to some snow Tue but amounts/impacts uncertain We have high confidence that a serious/major winter storm will impact the northern Worcester Hills/Berks above 1000 feet in elevation overnight into Tue. Firehose of rich moisture combined with tremendous forcing/dynamics and thermal profiles are all supportive of 1 to 2 feet of heavy wet snow & power outages through Tuesday. This will be a very serious storm for these locations. Forecast confidence is significantly less to the south of the MA Turnpike and all lower elevations. While some wet snow has been mixed in with rain at times across the lower elevations of the interior...ESE low level flow around 925 mb should result in some warming in that layer overnight. So expect mainly rain in this region through daybreak. This 925 mb warm layer begins to erode Tue am and especially by afternoon. How quickly this occurs and where exactly the dryslot and intense frontogenesis sets up will be crucial if significant accumulations occur in the lower elevations. This is quite complex too considering very marginal boundary layer temps. Given the rapidly intensifying low pressure system getting pulled back towards the coast along with an intensifying closed 700 mb low will need to be watched. If there was an area we were most concerned about in the lower elevations for significant wet snow accumulations...its portions of northeast MA especially just inland from the coast. We are still evaluating the latest model data.
  5. Lamont just issues tractor-trailer bans. If you're a mobile weenie, get off the roads.
  6. Trying to flip to snow. LOL. Doug flutie, back to pass!
  7. Oh lord. Giant white flakes falling now. Hold me. 35/34.
  8. Cycle between dual Pol loop and Reflectivity. You will get a good visual of bright banding. Reflectivity will mimic the melting layer on the beam
  9. Seeing that rain snow line retreat south a bit on dual Pol.
  10. There is an mping report of snow near *new haven*
  11. I take it back. There is wet snow mixed in with this rain. Very, very wet stuff though. 36F
  12. Eversource is saying it's preparing for 130k without power in CT.
  13. 36/35. A bit cooler than I expected at this point. Bed soon for me. Early into work tomorrow.
  14. The 18z NAM 7h vertical velocity. Check out the comma head structure that goes up 91 in CT.
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