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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. TalcottWx
    You buy 2" in Simsbury with this look?
  2. TalcottWx
    These BOX maps will be upped for interior central and northern CT soon. They have to be.
  3. TalcottWx
    Lord. Please. Make it happen. Over a foot of snow between 33-35F.
  4. TalcottWx
    That is 0-2" on that map in Simsbury. Maybe 2-3".
  5. TalcottWx
    They're going with 3-6" for Hartford on North it appears. I just talked to someone at Eversource: they are definitely concerned. "We're hoping these forecasts are very wrong".
  6. TalcottWx
    NAM and RGEM were concerning for the valley. Would be massive power issues.
  7. TalcottWx
    I loved that run in Simsbury, lol.
  8. TalcottWx
    12z RGEM
  9. TalcottWx
    I am truly right on the divider between fun and tears. It could be very messy.
  10. TalcottWx
    Trends have not been good for interior CT just away from LI sound. Still big question marks in central CT, and even northern CT. The mesos like NAM and HRRR seem to be on the colder side of things. EURO/GFS is a little warmer. The spread is large. We haven't seen a consensus at all.
  11. TalcottWx
    Worst case for lower elevations. It doesn't allow mid-levels to stack. prolongs easterly flow and boosts dry slot progression.
  12. TalcottWx
  13. TalcottWx
    The euro puts the surface low over Hartford.
  14. TalcottWx
    Hoping we are in a hotel tonight. I do not want to be on the roads at 3 AM if this is colder than expected.
  15. TalcottWx
    6z gefs mean
  16. TalcottWx
    Yeah, same here in Rocky Hill when I went to get coffee. Exhausted from the time change. 2am equivalent wake up for me today.
  17. TalcottWx
    What time does euro run at 6z and 18z now?
  18. TalcottWx
    My point is your elevation would not matter because of the marginal airmass above (in worst scenario). Seeing signs of mid level warming, and dry slot. This is why nw CT and berks are Jacks and me to you are biggest question marks. There is a nightmare scenario for you where I have heavy snow falling and you dryslot, I'm not favoring that scenario at all for the record. You should also stack after the flip because of colder air at elevation compared to me. Hoping dynamics will overcome here.
  19. TalcottWx
    It's not about the topography. Mid level and low track far more important.
  20. TalcottWx
    We are right on the line.
  21. TalcottWx
    6z GFS is pretty terrible for CT outside of NW CT. Forgettable is how I would describe that solution here.
  22. TalcottWx
    Scot says the forecast is 'Everything, everywhere, all at once"
  23. TalcottWx
    The 3k is pornographic.
  24. TalcottWx
    6z HRRR is very good too. Looks like it's printing 12" in Hartford. 16" near Waterbury. Something near 15" Kev. 6-12" E MA and still snowing near the end of the run's reach.
  25. TalcottWx
    6z NAM still hits low elevations of northern CT, and eastern MA with a lot of snow.
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