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wthrmn654

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Everything posted by wthrmn654

  1. wthrmn654
    Pretty potent cold portrayed 43 at that front, and 24 just behind it!
  2. wthrmn654
  3. wthrmn654
    I'm curious is there going be a strong south wind before the front crosses enabling temps to rise to levels some models are portraying?
  4. wthrmn654
    Luckily I think it's mainly the cold cold icy waters causing it versus snow.
  5. wthrmn654
    Oh no, I see snow eating fog monster developing along gardiners Bay
  6. wthrmn654
    Whole bunch of recon planes flying right now too just noticed That should add to models changing a decent amount coming up later lol
  7. wthrmn654
    Closer to long Island/ nyc areas, I meant to add lol
  8. wthrmn654
    Nam now mirrors what gfs was saying. Along with fv3-HI and hrrr and hrrr has a warm bias so yeah.. things just started getting real interesting work start of 18z nam
  9. wthrmn654
    18z Friday 17z Friday( presents better for posting purposes)
  10. wthrmn654
    Gfs historically did better , key word, better forecasting cold temps. I wouldn't fully discount it yet.
  11. wthrmn654
    Though my temp forecasts from now and weekend don't have me getting close to 50, 45 maybe. Lows at night 32-35.
  12. wthrmn654
    Went to riverhead it was 46, came back home it was 40 lol
  13. wthrmn654
    Will be key to see just how warm places actually get to.
  14. wthrmn654
    Yeah this snow pack isn't going very far quickly, and it's only 40 today
  15. wthrmn654
    Flash freeze in all likely hood
  16. wthrmn654
    Yep.
  17. wthrmn654
    Cold air damming could also be a thing though not as common in this style storm usually that when temps are slowly rising.
  18. wthrmn654
    Will this be a flash freeze type storm where temps crash extremely rapidly or will it be a gradual drop?
  19. wthrmn654
    There's also the wild card, places that have frozen solid ground several inches deep, and places that have a snow pack that can survive can instantly freeze any liquid that falls even if temps are a little over freezing or more marginal. Add to the mix temps can be a few degrees lower at frozen surface as well do to frozen ground.
  20. wthrmn654
    Snowing moderately and everyman covered so far here on the snowy jackpot side of the island right now lol
  21. wthrmn654
    Nws 4 pm update just raised my snow amounts in the Blizzard warning. Interesting.
  22. wthrmn654
    You gotta say that then lol
  23. wthrmn654
    Deft not talking about north west of NYC
  24. wthrmn654
    Rap up to 21z Saturday and still snowing
  25. wthrmn654
    Hrdps, Rgem all looked great 12z, nam through 18z depending on location.
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