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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. nope. I said I saw a "crack"...not a true meltdown. And the meltdowns are key to each storm thread IMHO. They add character. It's getting late and I suspect this thread may get a bit tense. 18Z NAM with a different look. Shocker.
  2. Haven't really seen a good meltdown in a while despite the general futility of this winter. Definitely, seeing some cracks in this post. I suspect this storm could be the one to really push some folks over the edge given it's potential.
  3. one thing we do now have is all models depicting a significant event. Was not the case 24 hours ago. Building blocks....
  4. based on trends today, and the fact I don't expect this to shear and fade south a continued northwest amped outcome is not out of the realm of possibility. Minny and Green Bay special. As nice as today is, I'd rather steer clear of a 2-3 inch slop job. I'm on the give me a 6" or greater or nothing at all.
  5. positive take. At least the GFS is on board with an event as opposed to a few runs back that had it in Virginia. And yes, it could certainly be north of northern illinos as that is where the GFS had the system consistently before it lost it. It's rarely cut and dried. Have to add, sure is some funky movement on both the GFS and NAM...at least to my untrained eye.
  6. Most trends look good from overnight it appears. 6Z GFS still not on board, but once all the players get on the field I like our chances. Stay positive folks! And enjoy the sunshine and 50's next couple days.
  7. Bomb somewhere. All patterns die eventually. Concern is an east coast theft. And yes, it will be an amped rainer and 1-3 incher for those directly under the storms path.
  8. Best of luck going forward...sir. It has been a pleasure reading your fine and informative posts. Thank you.
  9. I see my my feb. 28 blockbuster is in southeast Kentucky now on 6Z GFS. All systems go....
  10. Coldest I've ever been was spring baseball and spring track as a spectator.
  11. lot of what I'm reading basically has march endices headed towards what we wanted in January. That said, that has normally not played out this winter. But now that were headed towards spring....................
  12. it's the one that will bomb at the end of the month and tank /spike all the relevant endices for winter weather in March...killing an early spring and severe season.
  13. anybody going to start a thread for the February 27-28 blockbuster?
  14. unfortunately, it will not be all rain. You'd think after such a lame winter period, we'd get the benefit of a warm dry early spring, but rarely plays out that way.
  15. appears LOT is discounting the ICON this AM.........
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