cleetussnow

The Euro would be out to the 11th - how's it look?

It's possible that one biggie can get a lot of stations close to normal and we saw that during the 'snowy epoch' since the mid 90s. 2006 comes to mind where a single storm did that, and that was mid Feb. I haven't looked at the data in awhile but it seems we don't tend to get like six 5-inch storms to get to normal for CPK. Also, we don't normally just land on 'normal;' instead we do something like 15" or 45" and it averages out to normal ~30" over time. And when we get above normal, we get a couple biggies in it. I'm hoping we do get that big storm magic while the pattern is good, but I'm on the record for a ratter. It will still take some luck on timing even in a good pattern. Good patterns can absolutely fail to deliver.

In case anyone wants to see

I would love it. I remember the shows with DT raleighwx, marcus, some other people. Lets do this. We can use zoom or hop on discord.

You are a good poster. The other new guy too. You should change your name to Starman. Group? What do you think?

So ‘pandemic’ is the new apocalypse. Got it.

How do you see anything with the black thing on your head?

I deleted it after spending 5 seconds looking back in the thread cuz yeah.

Same! My wife had a secret weather blog she went to after reading my weather reports to compare forecasts. She never trusted mine until Sandy. I had to earn it, I guess.

I think a lot on here would sign up for a 6-10 region-wide deal in trade for more winter thereafter. Let's get one and we can wrap it up and call it a season.

There it is. First legit sun angle mention.

That won’t verify.

It feels like it will never snow again - which is silly, but 2 years of this, and this year possibly being worse than the last... yeah, feels permanent.

I think as of today it’s not unreasonable to call it a ratter given whats in the near term. I don’t think anyone should be chided for throwing it in. Hitting peak climo in the position we are in…Winter never had a chance.

Rusty pipe winter here.

@Typhoon TipTip said in the Fall of 2005 that the winter of 05/06 would not be a good one, but said given the pattern (whatever it was), some stations could get their seasonal average all in one storm. Which CPK did on Feb. 11. I may be the only person that remembers that call, but it was the best winter prediction I ever saw.

I'd take VDIII. (I *think we had 2 VD storms, one all the way back in Feb 2006 and one before that even?)

How are you not 5 post limited? There are a lot of jerk posts on here but some of yours certify you as a gold star assh*le. You are That Guy - the turd in the punchbowl. 33 here, light winds out of the southwest...

I suppose we always new it would come at some point this winter. Regular feature of mid winter lately. I don’t see a cold shot on ensembles in the east for a couple of weeks or more - Canada is going to get warm again. Source region isn’t cold. We may do some April temps a couple of times.

snow midtown. very light

Punt

The snowhole jacks me. Lovely.

Doorman!

Looks pretty good - better than the OP? I kind of extrapolated precip on the GEFS and it looked more robust than the op. I don't have the whole GFS suite to look at, so it's just what's on TTB.