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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. No run of the GFS runs today are warm in the northeast At day 10. None.
  2. These storms all seems like ones where we got NAMd, with the possible exception of boxing day. I am pretty sure the GFS was first to bring that back. I don't know about 96 but that was the EE rule era. When I say NAMd, I mean it worked out.
  3. The last 2 storms were modeled decently. I mean, what model do you want to see a storm on, and if there is one, where do want to see the storm at this range? Is it better for the like the navgem to have an apps runner? Does that mean we get a storm in the metroplex? Come on this is a decent signal.
  4. Mac Jones grandchildren will ask him if he ever met Josh Allen.
  5. Down here at my normal home we say to get the good snows you have to be right next to the taint.
  6. This is not unsurprising. The LP center could have gone left or right of the spine. Least resistance is left, and the NAM did that.
  7. I agree. It has a chance to slip to the left or right of what we have been seeing. At the same time the models are steadfast so what do I know?
  8. GFS looks a tick slower than the last run at 06z... Does not mean much
  9. We could totally get skunked, at least large storm varieties. I thought the winter would not be good, but not playing out like this exactly.
  10. LR is cold AF. Ought to be able to whip something up in that regime...
  11. This is a miller A. There isn't really a transfer and no clear path to do that.
  12. Pure APPs runners are not common so I am not convinced we are looking at that outcome right now.
  13. I am just going to throw it out there at a pure APPS runner is a rare thing indeed. Hard to do. I expect changes.
  14. that's what I was thinking...wait and see
  15. They are holding tough since its 6 days out. You know, you never want to be in the sweetspot etc.. etc..
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