cleetussnow

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I was just thinking that. I know it was the same for my friend Dan who lived in Hubby land  too. It’s crazy.  I know something like that is coming. All we can do is prepare. 

Prepare for snow or a gut punch?  

33 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

I don't have a link to offer but check out WxRisk's latest post on Facebook or maybe twitter...Most interesting.  I better get the pool closed up ASAP if he's right.  Of course he's full of hubris and mongering but its usually entertaining at least.

https://m.facebook.com/WxRisk/posts/dt-on-twitter-follow-along-this-winter-httptwittercomdtwxriskcom/169919243096511/

Sez put October 1 down as a date to watch for snow in western NY.  

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You might be thinking of 3/3/94. Massive interior storm. We got about 13-14” in ORH  with big wind. Lot of rain for the big cities after some front end snow....though I believe BOS had decent snow (8”+) with some rain/sleet at the height. 

But the true jackpot was back into interior PA and central NY where 2 feet fell. 

Thats it.  My parents have photos with date stamps that I’ll check.  I remember seeing the pictures and saying wait...that’s got to be ‘93 not ‘94. 

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Mar '56 to your generation was what Dec '92 was to mine (or maybe Mar '93 for those who got shafted in '92)...."The Big one that broke the snow drought" for each generation of kid snow weenies.

March ‘93 was what kicked of the snowy epoch (as I call it) for me, however I was located in upstate NY at the time.   For many ‘96 kicked off the snowy epoch, and I was relocated to NYC by then.  

By the way, there was a relatively big storm I think in Feb 1994...interior.  I don’t hear much about it probably for that reason, but it was not far off from some of the famous ones. 2 feet and wind like hell in some locales IIRC.  Doesn’t get a lot of press probably because it rained at the coast.  Edit. I don’t think it was feb 8-10.  

Heaviest rain now for sure.  Wind is rather modest. Can hear thunder but no flashes this round.

Cell just blew through with hvy rain and thunder.  Only saw one lightening flash. That lasted 10 mins.  Moderate rain now.  

More incoming...

I’m in Ithaca for this one, west side of Cayuga in my camper...which is interesting.  We just missed some action to the east, around 2 pm, now it’s very breezy with partly sunny skies, 85. DK humidity but it’s sticky.  Watching the line of storms to our northwest and we are in a tornado watch.  3k Nam seems to have the stronger cells to our west later, while the hrrr brings some strong cells overhead.  NWS says western Great Lakes for the most severe, so that’s in line with 3k nam.  

50 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

Just another normal summer night at BUF sitting at 86 deg as we approach 8pm. So warm, so late, all summer. Interesting...

I am interested to see what the warm means for a lake response in late fall.  It will get cold at some point.  

Pictures above are my house and neighbor’s.  The tree kind of kicked a field goal between the houses.  Not sure yet if my neighbors have damage but the streets are littered with bits of trees. Suns out and we have power.  

30 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Getting real up here north of HPN.  Branches down and lights flickered a few times.  Internet went down but all working now.  If I had to guess I’d say gusts to 40. My house is shadowed from the south by a steep hill so can’t tell anything real from the ground in terms of wind speed.  Intermittent rain.  No word of trees down yet locally.  

Tree fell 15 minutes ago and knocked down my next door neighbors chimney, a retaining wall and a stand of evergreens. We are sheltered in the center of the house.  Snapping and cracking sounds but lights still on.

Getting real up here north of HPN.  Branches down and lights flickered a few times.  Internet went down but all working now.  If I had to guess I’d say gusts to 40. My house is shadowed from the south by a steep hill so can’t tell anything real from the ground in terms of wind speed.  Intermittent rain.  No word of trees down yet locally.  

On 6/30/2020 at 6:36 AM, Thinksnow18 said:

Just watched a piece on channel 4 about beer and brain health in the elderly. According to the study, by the American Journal of medicine no less, states that a woman who consumes 8 glasses of beer or wine in 1 week shows a less likely chance of having dementia vs a woman who does not consume that amount. For men the amount of beer was doubled for the same results. However it was just last year the same journal reported ANY amounts if alcohol was bad for overall health!!! It's these inconsistencies and contradictions that make me question science and related research. 

A good journal doesn’t mean the paper is robust.  Hopefully the peer reviewers were careful looking at the data for the high beer consumption article.  Even in good journals you see backtest overfit and you get a false positive.  I would be suspicious of that.

3 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Haha yeah dude, pretty much the reason I moved here to begin with lol Monmouth county is the 38th wealthiest county in America, actually jersey owns 6 of the top 38.. Last time I checked NJ also had the highest% of millionaires...But there is some cheaper areas where you can get houses between 150k-200k..That's why I chuckle when people complain about property tax..My in-laws pay 10k a year and have like 1/4 acre lol NY is actually skewed due to NYC...

 

New Hampshire gets an asterisk...no income tax!  

4 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Thanks guys I appreciate it!!! But I'm not dying, at least I hope not lol

I still plan on contributing to the board even if I can't give an obs.. You will see me on here frequently, just not as crazy as before..It was a tough decision for sure but it's not easy being a city guy living in the country..I haven't seen family or friends in about 6 years.. I've dealt with a lot of shit over the last 3-4 months and I feel like I need a total lifestyle change..I never did see the"big one" but I had plenty of memorable times and I'll definitely miss it..I'm a bit OCD when it comes to model watching and chasing but once the event came it just never seem to give me what I was looking for lol I definitely missed out on more than I received in the 6 years I was here... Also never say never lol I've moved 3 times to NJ just to come back upstate..I was here for years under"mohawk valley" but just never contributed..I still plan on coming up at least once a year for the state fair..I may also try to convince my girl to go visit the tug during some epic events, become more of a chaser lol I'll definitely be rooting SE SE SE though haha.. Take it easy guys..

I feel you.  I am a country boy living in the big apple zone, but I keep one foot up north all winter.  Unfortunately for you a record winter up north is incoming while we get hit with 33 and rain down here.  It’s just how it is.  It’s the only circumstance where weather prognostication is 100% accurate.  

Buying a new snowmobile or snowblower are good predictors of a bad winter.  

Welp...decided to go get the antibody test for the family Sunday.  Took 1 hr to get an appointment at a local urgent care which surprised me.  I thought tests were in short supply.  Nope.  Place was empty.  No questions asked either.  No copay.  

Results come back ...my 14 YO came up with the anti body.  My wife and I did not.  Weird.  So we went back and got the swab test to see if we an active infection.  No red alert symptoms or anything, maybe tired and allergy type stuff if anything.  Will report back.  

My son lost taste for a few weeks but no other symptoms.  

If you get the nose swab..it sucks.  

I do know 2 other families where 1 person positive with the infection, and NO one else tested positive for the infection or anti bodies.  Jives with what’s happening in my house, but doesn’t jive with what I hear from news and what I should expect.  Weird. 

6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Can you imagine that map in winter, a perfect storm track. 

Right except for the part where it cuts.  

Through all of this cold, my lawn looks great.  Noted some leaves in a nearby woods have slightly curled up because of the cold and snow last week, but no other signs on the greenery, at least here in mid Westchester.  

47 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Pushing 90 next week with that look. The 11-15 day looks toasty. From 30 degree temps to 90 degree temps in a week

I was thinking about big temp swings.  I know we have had some in the few years, but mainly in winter., but like 60 degree swings in a couple of days.  

22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

States, counties and cities with rainy day funds will emerge with the least impact on tax burden on residents and businesses.  DC is a prime example of this since they don't have full budget autonomy and get impacted pretty heavily during partial Fed shutdowns.

DC lost their autonomy I think during Marion Berry’s reign. Congress took away their ability to govern themselves, iirc.  

5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Just read from nerd wallet that "economic health" ranking California 31st and New York 41st...so while not the worst damn close

I read California has a rainy day fund.  Or had one anyway...

which would be amazing if true.

2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Actually the two worst states for budgeting are...New York and...California

I figured CT and Illinois are actually close to defaulting.  

2 hours ago, etudiant said:

Have to disagree on his management of the virus issue.

He has killed the arts, education and entertainment activities in NYC with his egregious lockdown policies. Those are the economic engines of the state..

So having induced cardiac arrest, he is surprised the patient is not generating the expected income?

PS  Not a fan, obviously, of the shutdown, whether by Trump or Cuomo. Dreadfully bad policy which will hurt us for years to come.

I am sitting on the fence about how I feel about the lockdown.  It’s extreme but I don’t k now what else to do.  

This patient hasn’t generated expected income for many years.  Somehow it got worse in the last 4.  

2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

He was already 6 billion in the negative before this all started.

Cuomo can’t figure out how to fund the state in normal times, and doesn’t know why we keep missing revenue targets.  He said it plainly.  

He is doing great on the virus response.  His budget skills are atrocious.  One of the worst in the US.  Maybe CT and IL are worse?  

1 hour ago, Eduardo said:

For the past few years, it seems like our preferred weather patterns are “fast-forwarded” by a few months, delaying springs and summers on the front end, but extending them on the back end.  What explains it?

Remember we had a white thanksgiving in many areas.  Iirc a couple recent November’s have been cold.