cleetussnow

I don't know.  The icon is bad but not useless.  Maybe at this range it is but it's something and people on here need to something to masticate (or masturbate, depending) on to hold them over until breakfast (GFS) and lunch (Euro).

and bring back the weenie tag.  Why did that go away? 

3 hours ago, dmcginvt said:

hopefully next week will pull him out of retirement and into amwx

No need to pull him out.  He posts all the time down in the NYC forum since he moved to NJ.  WDrag.   Very accessible to.  

29 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

They can wait.  We are.  For 200 more hours.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Agreed. But I think must of us are trying to temper expectations a bit, being a week out. But to your point I like very much what I see, as it fits the pattern very well. So yes, I’m glad we’re here. 

We are here to win it!

Just now, MuddyWx said:

Ready to run through a brick wall

Damn right we are!

Hold up - All these posts about 'too bad it's hour 200, 'you don't want to be in the jackpot this far out...etc.'

I say BS for the following reasons:

1. Where would you rather be right now?  Low cutting up into Detroit?  Nova Scotia?  Ripped up shredded mess out underneath us?  Are those better?

2.  The pattern on multiple models has been developing the most favorable pattern we have seen in many years.  Do you expect there to NOT be a storm right where you want given the GEFS/EPS/GEM depictions of late?  We generally accept the pattern features to be favorable, why not a storm?

3.  When is it BAD to see a snowstorm depicted?  I say never.  

4. MANY times storms of biggie magnitude are picked up at these time frames.  '93 is an example when models were limited.  Boxing day was coming into focus.  It faded in the middle cycles, but the longer-range depictions were correct.  

Again: Men and Women:

Trough on the GFS sharpened right up and has a coastal look.  There is a neutral tilt down in GA 

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

We have a new weenie of the year winner.

Fixed.

1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said:

Those two members out near Bermuda are keeping this mean over the benchmark instead of a hugger at best. 

Eh.  No big deal.  Couple of western outliers too.  I love the look.

2 minutes ago, cut said:

Geoff Fox on WTNH New Haven nailed that from beyond his five day if I remember correctly. Never in specifics but in a 'watch out for next week' kinda way.

Yep.

49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Boxing Day did have it and lost it but it didn’t bring it back until 48 hours out or even less. It was 12z GFS on 12/24 that went nuts and HPC tossed it, lol…then it quickly became apparent at 18z that it had scored a coup as NAM went bonkers and then I think RGEM did (before 18z GFS confirmed the 12z run wasn’t a random model blip)

Janice Huff, the terrible NYC telemet said 2 inches on the 24th 11 PM broadcast.  Lee Goldberg was hyping possibilities.  That guy Nick whatshisface from fox 5 was honking blizzard.  It was a great storm.
 

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Mar ‘93 was an epic one too. Esp considering how primitive models were back then. 

Everytime this storm comes up I mention that the newspapers reported this storm 5 days out.  Thats pretty good!

13 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i want the gfs to show a low over the azores 

It will on the 12z GFS hr. 36 panel next Thursday.  

R/S line is about 15 miles north of me on the NAM and about 4 miles south of me on the GFS.  I am not optimistic as a modelled battleground is usually south of the actual battleground.  I am just north of HPN so right around there is my AO.    

16 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said:

Best thing to happen to Yonkers since Tyler The Creator 

Bullseye is literally my house.  Congrats everyone else cuz it ain't happening.  

Snowstorms?  I got bit by a mosquito just now.  Need to dig out the bug spray.

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

He hasn’t  changed his thoughts on the pattern in 30 years.

Army Navy next weekend looks nautical.  Like last year.  Storm arrives Friday (when we set up our tailgate) then backs up  saturday with the LP overhead.  40s and driving rain winds out of the north. Terrific.  

4 hours ago, stu said:

Well, there goes the Winter.

I got us covered, Stu.  Sold my snowmobiles this morning and got rid of my Vermont camp last year.  It's as iron clad signal for a cold and snowy winter as it gets.

Back in '94 my uncle bought a grizzly sized tracked snowblower on account of the Blizzard of '93.  Halfway through the winter of '94 he complained it didn't snow and paid all this money for it.  I told him that was the best Gottdamn snowblower he ever could have imagined.  Cleared his driveway and everyone else's for hundreds of miles around!!!  He got 25 inches shortly after that in Feb though.  Changed his tune.  

6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

What about the other guy .. John Homenuk? I never heard of him. Not sure how credible he is?

Earthlight has a good reputation and was a frequent poster here a few years back.  

Different than last December at least

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s one strong -NAO….almost 5 Standard in the negative in that depiction. 

Congrats DC.

34 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

We need a weather psychologist on call ...perhaps a milf type Figure for distraught weenies

 

This. 

22 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That will happen Christmas eve, The Grinch will hit the switch as he leaves a fresh pile of coal in the basement.

Christmas Eve was so bad last year my coal had steam coming off it. 

24 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Are you sure that wasn't a volcanic eruption?

Thats what I’m saying…like WHAT is THAT?  

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Ever?

Yeah ever.  Seriously never.