IrishRob17

Many of those areas reporting sleet flipped back to snow already, including out near Port Jervis. All snow here still.

This discussion got buried quick in the other OBS thread so I figured I’d post it here too Mesoscale Discussion 2276 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0541 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 Areas affected...Upstate NY to eastern Long Island...including parts of southern New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 262341Z - 270545Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow bands will spread/develop southeast across upstate NY toward southern New England over the next few hours. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr are expected. DISCUSSION...Low-amplitude short-wave trough is progressing southeast across western NY/PA early this evening. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts a notable midlevel vort max southwest of Syracuse, and this is reflected well in radar data. Multiple heavy snow bands have developed ahead of this vort max, strongly influenced by low-level warm advection, extending across upstate NY into the lower Hudson Valley. Boundary layer moistening supports this with dew points now rising into the mid teens (F) where snow rates are increasing. Over the next few hours snow rates are expected to increase downstream across western CT and Long Island, largely in response to this well-defined short wave digging toward the northern Middle Atlantic. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr can be expected prior to the short wave passage. ..Darrow.. 12/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

Mesoscale Discussion 2276 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0541 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 Areas affected...Upstate NY to eastern Long Island...including parts of southern New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 262341Z - 270545Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow bands will spread/develop southeast across upstate NY toward southern New England over the next few hours. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr are expected. DISCUSSION...Low-amplitude short-wave trough is progressing southeast across western NY/PA early this evening. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts a notable midlevel vort max southwest of Syracuse, and this is reflected well in radar data. Multiple heavy snow bands have developed ahead of this vort max, strongly influenced by low-level warm advection, extending across upstate NY into the lower Hudson Valley. Boundary layer moistening supports this with dew points now rising into the mid teens (F) where snow rates are increasing. Over the next few hours snow rates are expected to increase downstream across western CT and Long Island, largely in response to this well-defined short wave digging toward the northern Middle Atlantic. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr can be expected prior to the short wave passage. ..Darrow.. 12/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

Business picked up quickly once it starts, ground quick covered here, 21/11.

Close call here, my sister in laws car wouldn’t start this morning…I jumped it and got it all warmed up. The car, not my sister in law, sickos!

Certainly enjoyed it, although I made a little too much merry on Christmas Eve so no holiday hammered for me yesterday but perhaps this evening

I had a house full yesterday and was busy enjoying that, did look at much model stiff or help monitor the posters coming out of the woodwork, as is tradition before a snowstorm. Anyway, I would think we will at least see some flakes before 6pm.

I had a similar situation last year with my father in law.

Not an official white Christmas here (leas than 1" at my stake) but everyone is saying it's nice to have another white Christmas so that's all that matters. Merry Christmas one and all!

Less than 1" at my stake but still plenty of snow to see out there 29/25. Merry Christmas!

Dude, I had no issue with the U. I did with Bama but they proved themselves. Tulane and JMU...bro...they really need their own playoffs. Oh, and see you up north next year.

We know how to find the soundings...I think...it's the interpretation beyond the incredibly obvious. Will there be an online course or are you hosting?

Right up there with Forky taking his shot post and disappearing and not leading the lemmings to the promised land. He's probably all tuckered out now after that post but I know I'm waiting for a some follow up. A Soundings 101 course in 2026 would be appreciated.

In-laws leaving Friday morning instead of Saturday morning due to the storm...you call that a "win-win".

Here's an old beer commercial and my favorite

Makes sense, everything south of there is the city.

My brother had a husky when he lived upstate in lake effect country. There was no keeping that dog inside when it was cold and whiteout snows.

Good catch, I had not thought of that one. I need to get my head back into the bowls, the CFP selection tainted my view a couple weeks ago... @BxEngine can relate and/or was jumping for joy I'm sure...

I've made ice luminaries in years past. They are awesome when the weather cooperates.

The Kuchera map

You nailed that map in your posts, it's the weeniest map of them all.

@The 4 Seasons3.2” today, season is up to 11.8”.

I’m going to go with 3.2” as well, which is what the wife measured at noon. I’m sure it was higher but I can’t verify that, melted to .23 although that includes some drizzle this afternoon.

The bride said there was a little over 3" when she left around noon. If others measured the liquid as well I might be able to back into a better guess when I figured out their ratios after I get my liquid total. Blah, blah, blah.

Well played. I know you know, in fact I think we were talking about it earlier this season, how sometimes you have to make your best educated guess.