stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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I really appreciate your information. It reveals my expectations....................... There is a slow "catch up " time and even then a reluctance to downgrade drought..
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I have lost a lot of faith in the veracity of the U.S. Drought Monitor. When it updated Thursday morning at 8:30, it kept Augusta County in Extreme Drought. No way! 3 - 5 inches of rain in 8 days. 4.88" at my gauge. Water table rising and only a few ft. below normal. It would be a miscommunication to even say that we are abnormally dry at this time. Maybe in a few weeks if no more rain, but not now.
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45.8 at 6:30
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4.88" last 8 days. 6.11" total for May.
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3.90" total at 2:30. Hope for 5.00" by Wednesday 8 pm.
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2.71" wonderful total! Hopefully another 2 inches thru Monday.
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1.95" last 36 hrs.. Harrisonburg received 3.05" last 24 hrs. This is NOT a Drought buster but it is absolutely wonderful. 200% of normal for 2 to 3 months would break the drought.
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That will be a blessing................
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1.23" last 24. Expecting 1 - 2 inches additional later this afternoon and tonight.
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I'm more impressed with the NAM 12
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The WPC with the afternoon 7 day bought the paltry GFS 1.23" and tossed the 2.47" ECM and AI. Hopefully, they are wrong.
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With the 1:54 7 day Update, the WPC is buying into the 7 day prog. from the GFS and tossing the ECMWF and AI.
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Lingering La Nina
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Hilarious how we have been dealing with this for years and some are tone deaf as if it is a short term anomaly. During the past 5 years, I have received an annual average of 37.30" compared to a 45 year average of 41.80........................ 4.5 inches average below normal during the past 5 years...........
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34 at 6:30. Frost and 30 at Headwaters.
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.09" in the last hour.......................... What a bonus!!
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.87" total rain yesterday. Wonderful!! Low of 34.9 with clouds and fog.
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An over-performer at last!!! Have received .60" since 6 am!! Temp. has dropped from 55 at 5 am to 43 at 9:55 am.
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We don't get big ass HP off the coast. We get hp ridges along the coast that pump in dry air and suppress convection. I don't see relief until Fall.
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30.3 with FROST at 6:15.
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Yes, it is now EXTREME DROUGHT For Waynesboro.
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Make that EXTREME DROUGHT
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If so, they broke the rule this week............ 100% and 90% for 36 hours resulted in .01"
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Last May began very dry then turned quite wet and stayed wet until early August when rain stopped. El Nino suggests a possible reversal this year. I expect exceptional drought labeling later this morning.
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You are exactly right.................... My 1300 ft elevation makes a differennce, but very close 3,000nelevation makes a real difference. I will take a +2500 Nino over a minus -.75 Nina any day of the week...............................
