Brian5671

12 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

This wouldn’t have been a snowstorm in the metro area in mid-January let alone April. All rain event start to finish….

yeah even if there was cold it would quickly be scoured out with that track

16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

The NE edge seems to be drying up

yeah doubt anything gets here...we have NE winds funneling in dry air.

winds rarely pan out

1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said:

This is a rainer for SNE but the ski slopes could be in for another big time event.

A fitting end to a true ratter of a winter...

Blocking showing up with suppression through Tue rain has a tough time moving NE of the city

8 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Absolutely no reason for all this bickering over a noreaster happening in April 

Happy Easter!

You new here?  We bicker over everything.   NE forum is worse with temp and humidity bickering

39 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Many forecasts were for a warm and snowless winter but there were hope from the weeklies which never materialized. 

Weenies have been garbage for the last 4 yrs

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Chris has received alot of weenies this past winter but he did a great job when everyone including myself was hard on him for being a warnista.

Same can be said for Allsnow. I think frustrations are setting in for many snow enthusiasts. 

 

The warning signs were there early this year

1.   December warmth was much more widespread that many predicted

2.  The pattern change delay into mid Jan.  And even at that, you could see modeling returning the warmth very quickly-so it was only 8-9 days

3.  The Feb pattern change was more of the same-a couple days of cold then back to the torch.   

It was really over before it began this year and we were lucky to get the snow we got given a +5 Dec, +3 Jan +2 Feb and +5 March

Tomorrow's rain is trending south-most likely due to the strong block?

Basically a cutter with a late developing coastal-would have been rain even in January

This would have been great in the heart of winter with an arctic airmass-you'd be talking a HECS for some.  Instead it's maybe some catpaws after 2 inches of rain

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

More impressive is the fact how wet Orh has been with such little snow to show for it 

even here 10 inches of rain and not even a T of snow...

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

 

very impressive for Worcester not to see anything in March....

9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I don’t remember that storm at all and I would’ve cursed it to no end seeing Boston and I-90 get buried while I maybe got my 1-2” table scraps. 

Upton went all in here with blizzard conditions and big totals....most of the storm was heavy rain during the day...then we got a dryslot of sorts with some light garbage snows...we did get accumulating snow overnight mainly on the grass, ended up with 3-4 inches of slop. Hunter Mtn had 3 feet from what I remember

12 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Any time of year would be a problem with a primary driving up to Buffalo. We would need the closed ULL a lot further south to force the redevelopment and CCB in a prime position for us. As JetsPens said, the ridging out ahead of it will try to force the upper low further north. From Boston on N I would keep a closer eye on it. The best area to be would be the high elevations like Adirondacks to Green/White Mountains and Berkshires. Even if lower elevations like Boston do get heavy snow they’d probably need to fight off marginal surface temps for a while. And again forget about any 10-1 map in this kind of marginal airmass setup unless you’re in the mountains. Down here the max potential I think is some heavier snow/table scraps precip that rots around the CCB that’s nailing New England. 

True-even in our best setups you need the primary to die out no further north than Pittsburgh

9 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said:

April 6, 1982 shows it can be done but in this climate I have my doubts.

IF it were early March I'd be more excited.   Airmasses have been problematic all year....April 82 had awesome arctic cold unload that would have done January proud.

34 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

*not a forecast*
 

But I bet between now and Wednesday you will see a run that buries NYC under a CCB. It’s obviously not going to happen but it will get the usual suspects excited 

yep we'll get NAM'd 

Just now, forkyfork said:

the blocking episode doesn't even last a week before the archambault storm ends it

Good.    Lets get the torch back

12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Pretty much. This is spring in the northeast then we flip to summer sometime in May

Even May into early June can be rough with onshore flow.  The good news is that the good days start to outnumber the crappy days.

35 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

@JetsPens87 Right on que, here come the 10:1 operational model “snow” maps lol

and the "so and so says on X" 

Still raining here.

3 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

No it's not. You guys are being dramatic. Who knows if we'll see a period like 2000-2018 in our lifetimes again (likely not) but to say that snowy winters won't exist anymore is hyperbolic. The cold and snowy combo might be harder to come by though but we will have above normal snow winters again.

the 2000-2018 run was epic in itself even without any warming....even if the climate stayed the same such a run might be difficult to come by....

about an inch here still going though

7 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

What I have noticed lately is when we do get those blast of pac puke it takes longer to reverse then years past. If that type of relaxation is forecasted it basically means 4-5 weeks+ of no winter threats 

Yep.  Once the short Jan cold snap ended it took almost a month to get anything resembling winter back here...

9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

even when we had very snowy winters, it was rare to get meaningful snow this late..... 1996, 2003 and 2018 were it.

As long as we get snow in January and February it's okay, anything outside of that has become very rare.

Winters are basically 6-8 weeks now--almost like a Richmond VA type climo