Brian5671

the band is overhead here tropical like rains

Flash flooding here with very heavy rain

11 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

what a beautiful day i enjoy a rainy day on the weekend only negative with the storm ending sooner we may get some sunshine before the sun sets..

there is no sun today unless you're in Western PA

3 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Hrrr and short range models have this ending faster than modeled. By 3-5 pm.

 

Matches radar, IMO.

Fast mover.   Too bad it wasn't a month ago-track is perfect

23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

2-3” statewide on track. Some local loli to 3.5-4, sure. 

What a month-that will put BDR close to 10 inches with another storm later next week

heavy rains here.

14 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Last year or the year before GA had a very damaging freeze for the peach crop after a freeze hit right after our new normal much warmer than average “winter” started the growing season early. Maybe this will be a more frequent occurrence in this new climate normal with the growing season starting earlier and earlier but still prone to cold snaps. 

If history is correct we will probably have another shot at a freeze in early April.    However the MJO is moving back into the warm phases by then so maybe we get lucky and miss it

HRRR coming in very wet

51 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

I didn’t believe they would make it at the beginning of March… But Belleayre made it and they are thriving on 3/22 with snow on way tonight.

 

March is funny like that!

VT/NH/ME look ok but have to wonder how many go other than season pass holders at this point...

1 minute ago, JerseyWx said:

It dried out the top layer maybe, but water tables still high and definitely concerned about rivers tomorrow.  We need a dry pattern that lasts for several months, and when it does rain it's not big soakers.

Yeah agree on all counts...after the last soaker we can water bubbling up out of the ground here.

What a wet pattern.  We were lucky to have not much the last 2 weeks to dry out a bit.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

29 here and rain this weekend 

The story of the winter

amazing how nothing worked out....hopefully better luck next year but I wouldn't count on it until we see some PAC changes

5 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

“Ice age when?”

Reminds me - a couple years ago I stumbled across a climate change denial website, I think it was called ‘Electroverse.’ It was dedicated to talking about the impending ice age that’s happening any year now lol. Of course they were obsessed with the “Grand Solar Minima” that never materialized, and kept posting any cold temperature records from any specific town or village anywhere in the world on any given day. You know what they say, weather = climate right? Definitely. 

Good stuff, still waiting on my Ice Age. We know that’s my preferred climate configuration, but unfortunately I think the past two years went in roughly the exact diametric opposite direction. Wondering if that site’s still truckin’, I’d imagine they dropped the solar stuff and probably focused on Asia this winter. 

Yes when the sun when into the minimum some were talking about Maunder minimum little age coming type stuff.   That was 10-15 yrs ago and I think the verdict is in on that one....

Euro is a monsoon through next weekend

3 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Yup, heard all the basement  cleanup and remediation companies went out of business since everyone did their repairs. 

the odd thing is I hear from people lately who have never had water and now they do-shows how high the water table got this winter....

20 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Saturday will be a good day to stay in and watch the tournament 

or bail out the basement 

MJO quickly collapses into COD within 7-8 days so expect any cold to be short lived

5 minutes ago, Picard said:

I'm hoping most of the bulbs will survive.  The crocus bloomed so early it had already flowered and withered before this cold snap.  Our dafodills and tulips are up but not bloomed yet.  I did notice the tulip leaves had turned a darker green this morning but I think that's normal on colder mornings.  Pansies I don't know about.  It's the first year they went in this early, so we'll see.  I'm told they're pretty cold hardy.

Damn March!

Daffodils have been blooming here for a week...they look ok today.    The cold might be good to slow down the growing season a bit-we were 2-3 weeks ahead at the end of the torch

18 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

I would guess the probability is no different from any other year, despite the incredibly warm and lower snow totals this season to date?

We had a 7 inch snowstorm here in April 2018, but that capped off a great March with multiple snowstorms.   So I'd say it's more likely in a year like that than a ratter this year with very little cold air around...

Today would do January proud

Where was that a month ago?  We finally get a run through 8 and 1 (at least)

28 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

 at some of the model trends for this weekend. Good thing the rain’s desperately needed and there’s plenty of sand left to be eroded on the beaches! 

Euro looks fun

31 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

I love euro AI.  It shows me what I want to see!

Weenie model.   

35 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

20’s Friday morning? 

2-4 of rain Saturday? 

 

Ewwww

GFS CMC and EURO are all similar

18 minutes ago, NCPOW said:

What are the expected precip chances and totals today? I’m hoping to get some pre emergent on the lawn before a possible washout this weekend. 

I think it's a bit early for pre-emergent-I'd wait another week.   But on your question we're looking at light amounts maybe .10 or .20

-