Brian5671

9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

even when we had very snowy winters, it was rare to get meaningful snow this late..... 1996, 2003 and 2018 were it.

As long as we get snow in January and February it's okay, anything outside of that has become very rare.

Winters are basically 6-8 weeks now--almost like a Richmond VA type climo

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The rubber band is eventually going to snap back to snowy winters. Who knows when.

after a volcano or asteroid maybe 

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Definitely signs of the warmth returning 2nd week of April 

makes sense the blocking will break down by then and it's back to the torch

about an inch here so far-still going

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

You can really only go by climo at this point and that says the further SW you go the more likely there is to be sun. But it’s really anyone’s guess. I’ll be in FL for the eclipse so for me it’ll only be 50-60% partial but it would suck obviously to spend $1000+ on hotels/airfare etc and stuck in traffic for a cloudy day.  Such a crapshoot. So I would stay in the Northeast just for that reason and go by car. I looked up flights to Austin for the hell of it and round trips are over $800 and hotels I’m sure are sold out. 

We will have a pretty good idea of what's going to happen a few days before...can adjust accordingly if one wants to see it-worst case drive SW to St Louis lol

11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

the question is if the block is so strong, why dont we see snow all the way down here?

whats the difference between this and say, April 1996, 2003, 2018....

other than the obvious fact that the winters preceding them were much colder lol

you answered your own question....There's a general lack of deep cold airmasses this year

The easterly solutions look to verify based on radar and the latest HRRR

Wonder if upton issues flood watches-ground is saturated...

40 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said:

On every run of the ECMWF weeklies in the extended range 

Hopefully the weeklies are banned next winter-the last 2-3 yrs they have shown the "big pattern" in the LR only to bust horribly.

In the end go west you'll rarely be wrong

32 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

6z Nam has rain all day tomorrow 

Easy call for Phillies and Mets to move their respective openers to Friday.     Playing up here in March is silly-play first 10 days of season in domes or down south

15 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

NAM now east on the 18z run as well. Dry Thursday afternoon for the Mets opener. Let's hope this trend continues! 

BUST

8 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

I think models will shift back west tomorrow. 

Already seeing signs of that tonight with Icon & Nam 

As is, areas east of the city get a good soaking-it's down to really whether NJ and the LHV get much

10 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

before it looked like thursday would be the wetter day now it looks like it may be wednesday still a good soaking coming up..

models are mostly dry tomorrow outside of some drizzle here and there

34 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

EPS still is further W of op at 12Z:

It moved a bit east from 6z though....imagine these maps for a snow event-there would be mass panic and weenie suicides

Euro  with a move even further east for Thurs

GFS a bit east and CMC about the same

25 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

RGEM looked pretty far east with the rain late week. Good. Keep it away 

Weird it has one strip west and one east.   But the main band looks more like the Euro/Icon

6z GFS for comparision (CMC is very wet as well, ICON looks like EURO)

15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Euro still a no

Looks like a SE ridge there-maybe the blocking can link up and give us warmth...LOL

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I wish this was the path of totality for the eclipse.... and that we had clear skies that day.

Today would actually have been perfect for the eclipse.

yep it's a case of luck when it comes down to it...problem is there's usually 2-3 cloudy days in Western NY for every sunny one this time of year...

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Old man Winter hates us

The -PDO hates us

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Time to get the gardening season started! Today I'm planting seeds (peas and radishes), and later in the week I'll plant lettuce and broccoli plants.

I was hoping it would be a bit warmer today, but it's still a beautiful day. We've been spoiled by all the warm weather, so near normal early spring temps in the 50s feels chilly to us now. We have to get used to it since there's no sign of warm weather coming back for awhile. Looks like lots of high temps in the 50s ahead. 

Too bad it's looking like another super soaker for Thursday. Bad timing for the Mets home opener. I assume it'll be postponed until Friday. 

The sun and lack of wind today feels good

5 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

from 10/1/23 - 11/20/23 Philadelphia recorded a lusty total of 0.79"

 

I think they got that in one hour Saturday