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Brian5671

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Posts posted by Brian5671

  1. 16 hours ago, Dark Star said:

    I have to chuckle at all the social media posts, telling you to keep your pets inside with the shades drawn!  When was the last time you saw a dog stare at the sun?  When was the last time you saw a bear walking into a tree?

    yeah alot of nonsense out there

  2. 1 minute ago, lee59 said:

    Add to that, this is the second year in a row that the Sierras have had above normal snowfall, first time in some 20 plus years.

    Pattern has favored western storminess with the trough out there

  3. Anchorage is approaching their record seasonal snow of 134 inches (129 to date) that's another stat that tells you we had a ratter winter....AK always does well when we torch all winter

    • Like 2
  4. 10 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

    For the Delaware River Basin we haven't had a true drought since 2002. By true drought I mean from a hydrological standpoint. The last drought warning / emergency ended in NOV 2002. The highest weekly drought severity indexes for the NE back to 12/2000 were during the 2002 drought peaking on 3/12/2002 with an index of 228. For a frame of reference the fall 2016 dry period peaked at 161, fall 2020 at 131 & the summer 2023 dry period topped off at 107.

    Since 2002 dry periods have been rare & when they happen they don't have a long shelf life.

    https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx

    2074071732_droughtne.thumb.png.60d9c5a4d1142edd7c1a5541f8ea13cf.png

    20020312_rcc_northeast_trd.thumb.png.55e2576bcffc7cf307045213c336668c.png

    yeah the drought I'm refering to in summer 2022 was more of a "flash drought"  bone dry for about 3 months before the wet pattern returned-it was very dry though-lawns was toast and even some leaves on trees died...we had something like a half inch of rain in July which combined with the strong sun really dried things out

    • Like 1
  5. 21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    Well with how wet the ground is and how damaged the trees are, we're primed to level forests in 6-7 weeks when we hopefully get a derecho to blow through. They better prepare the power grid now. 

    Dont forget all the hurricanes we're going to get too...:whistle:

  6. 24 minutes ago, BucksCO_PA said:

    3.31" event total

    28.87" since 12/1

     

    Similar numbers up this way-just crazy...we had a drought 2 summers ago-long forgotten at this point.

  7. 14 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

    A very dangerous picture is getting painted for this upcoming Atlantic hurricane season. All the indicators right now are pointing to a record breaking season and have been since March….

    The key will be how many landfalling storms-some big nina years have alot of fish storms...

    • Like 4
  8. 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

    Pretty calm here so far but guessing that will change. My brother already lost power down in Fairfield. 

    Yeah it's wild here.  Torrential rains too which are likely bringing down the winds

  9. Just now, the_other_guy said:

    They dont care. You showed up and spent money while waiting in the cold rain. It happens all the time throughout the league

    they are doing the same dumb thing in Philly and Balt today

  10. 2 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

    So don't tell me. The main energy was transferred to the coastal (secondary low), eliminating the precipitation that was supposed to accompany the original primary low (or series of additional lows), which many of the models did not pick up on 48 hours out?

    Bing bing bing....plus these things always seem to come earlier and end earlier

    • Like 1
  11. 1 minute ago, Dark Star said:

    I thought I had been following this system, and could have sworn the general concensus was for heavy rains Wednesday and Thursday?  Now it seems Thursday may not be a washout?  What has changed?

    yeah it's faster-out by dawn tomorrow

    namconus_ref_frzn_neus_24.png

  12. 11 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

    Yeah they should have postponed before the game, but what I found ridiculous was they made people wait 2 hours and then called the game just as the rain was ending around 9pm. If you make people wait that long, then why call it just as you were getting into a dry window? The way the whole thing was handled was a disgrace. 

    Tonight's call should be a bit easier....:arrowhead:

  13. 6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Coastal Westchester into Fairfield already gusting past 50 mph.

     

    Larchmont Harb   N/A    N/A N/A N/A NE41G53 
    Norwalk Harbor   N/A    N/A N/A N/A NE39G52  

    Yeah ripping here

  14. 6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

    Ill invert that. many of the smaller East Coast ski areas have 100% snowmaking to see them through warm periods.

     

    Out west they are totally dependent on natural snow. Too big and not enough water for snowmaking.

     

    In the warm winter world of the future, you will see skiing at small resorts on the East Coast where lower Western resorts shut down.

    Put in the books…

    In theory yes...but they lose the casual skiier who goes when there is snow in their backyard...some resorts note their best days are when there's a snowstorm in the I95 corridor.  Their expenses are also higher to make snow vs get some natural snow-some of the local CT places have had 25% of annual snow fall last 3 out of 4 yrs...

  15. Just now, jm1220 said:

    It took basic pattern recognition to realize that this was never a storm in terms of snow for us, and would be dicey in SNE but a fairly small shift would’ve kept it interesting along I-90. There’s as usual no preexisting cold to speak of, it’s another storm packed with moisture and the SE ridge is trying to make it cut as much as it can. Even if there’s a NAO block, we’re in trouble with the mega SE ridge. And oh by the way, it’s April. 

    The winds will be the most interesting element of this one.  I would add rain but we've had a dozen 2 inch rain events since last summer.

    • Like 1
  16. 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

    Agreed. You either need to be near a lake or extreme NNE to get good winters now. Boston,bdl and orh will continue to see mild/snowless winters 

    If that's truly the case many ski places will go under....I'm talking Poconos SE NY CT MA not VT NH ME

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