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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Gets tough by then, but stranger things have happened. N and W still in the game til the end of March as well.
  2. that's why most long range guidance should be taken with a grain of salt good or bad its subject to wild changes...
  3. the last 8-9 yrs have been an absolute blowtorch overall
  4. 2012 was great once we all accepted it wasn't coming. Morch had a couple days in the 80's here and the month as a whole was warm sunny and dry. I'll take it again
  5. Definitely a big takeaway...mild/snowless winters don't usually turn cold/snowy. (exceptions like 06-07 do exist) So had to be skeptical of calls of a big pattern from mid Feb to mid March-in reality it will be a window of about 10-12 days like the one in January.
  6. Just have to hope we don't get late March/early April onshore flow garbage...
  7. Big part of the reason cold was lacking this year....
  8. There's little to no snowcover over the midwest and great lakes region too-so any "cold air" will modify bigly not to mention ice free great lakes
  9. All in cycles too...70's to 90's were not great, 2000-2018 was great....2019-? crap
  10. yep-fast flow might be our final nail. if it comes down to that it will be 2 brief intervals of cold/snow chances in an incredibly warm winter.
  11. Once we got to Mid Jan after a 45 day torch and that "good pattern" was reduced to 8 days before yet another long torch it was over. Rare for ratter winters to suddenly turn good if the worm doesn't turn by the end of January.
  12. Seasonal Trend. "what the winter does in December, winter will remember" Warm/snowless winters tend to stay that way. We had a brief window in January, one should have been suspicious of calls for a 4-5 week good/great pattern based on the seasonal trend...
  13. Shows you how awful it's been. Our last good pattern was 3 yrs ago. (no, I don't consider Jan 2024 good-it was an 8-9 day island in a sea of torch.)
  14. I remember being mildy upset it was ruined. The 5 days of 80 degrees to close it out was something else...
  15. Think it's bad here? Look at the snowcover map of the upper midwest in the NE forum....bare ground into S Canada (which will likely modify any "cold air" coming our way not to mention ice free great lakes.)
  16. you be the judge...
  17. Brutal for industries that rely on snow/cold/ice cover. Almost every station across the US has below normal seasonal snowfall this year...
  18. For once you live in the perfect spot for that...
  19. if you look nationwide almost every station is below or well below average snowfall for the date....amazing bad on a national level.
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