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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    Whatever happens, happens. The sun will continue to rise in the east. One wise man around here did say "If it doesn't come by late January it's probably not going to"
  2. Brian5671
    Better get some cold air in here...most of the city and coast's biggest storms are preceded by arctic air ahead of time not 55 degrees
  3. Brian5671
    all about the buzzwords---"the storm will create its own cold air" "Dynamics" It's 30 degrees at Hunter Mtn, that will be pulled south....yada yada yada
  4. Brian5671
    How long have you been at this? 20 yrs? The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result...
  5. Brian5671
    it makes sense-with the WPC being warm phases 4-5-6 are favored...Notice how little it's been 8-1-2?
  6. Brian5671
    Yep-can't buy a cold airmass this year except for a week in January
  7. Brian5671
    I'm at 11 for the last 2 years....crazy
  8. Brian5671
    For urban areas it likely is. Hard to see how it accumulates on pavement in the city with temps 34 or so and a daytime event. Would have to come down very heavy to overcome that. N and W different story with some elevation/colder air
  9. Brian5671
    We've had 2 inches of snow on the season, there has been 8 days of cold the whole season and there's limited cold for this event....that's why
  10. Brian5671
    This season reminds me a bit of 97-98-some decent tracks for snow but cold air is lacking most of the winter
  11. Brian5671
    Urban areas may struggle...ground is warm and the days leading up to the storm are warm-a night time event with heavy rates would do the trick however. Best shot is N and W where you have some elevation to work with and closer to any available colder air....
  12. Brian5671
    Incredible post. Thank you.
  13. Brian5671
    any cold air that does move south and east will certainly moderate over snowless ground and mostly ice free lakes
  14. Brian5671
    No cold air....same problem all winter....
  15. Brian5671
    If that's the case averages are in the low to mid 40's by then....that coupled with the data about having no snow by late January (The season tends to not produce if that's the case) then it might be about over...
  16. Brian5671
    Story of the last 2 yrs...cold has been very hard to come by-relying on a storm bombing in the perfect spot to deliver the goods otherwise.
  17. Brian5671
    b/c it's the long range. we've been chasing the LR since Thanksgiving with 2 inches of snow to show for it. Hope it happens but there's reason to be skeptical given the winter to date.
  18. Brian5671
    Not to mention 5 days of almost clear skies after 10 days overcast and 40 degrees
  19. Brian5671
    Wonder who that is...LOL
  20. Brian5671
    Twitter has an expert for everything ya know....
  21. Brian5671
  22. Brian5671
    Rain. it's in the 50's and 60's in the days before the storm-where's any cold air coming from?
  23. Brian5671
    yeah the airmass is crap. we've seen how that works out in the past....
  24. Brian5671
    Good-too much -NAO is congrats DC
  25. Brian5671
    we've been kicking the can since Thanksgiving-first it was a great pattern starting xmas week, then it was Jan 1st, then into mid Jan, which a brief window of cold occurred followed by what will be a 3-4 week "thaw" basically a 10 day winter so far.....hopefully it comes but hard not to be somewhat skeptical given the last 2 years of garbage and fantasy long range model runs
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