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Everything posted by Brian5671
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
SW CT winter -
Gets tough by then, but stranger things have happened. N and W still in the game til the end of March as well.
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice snow shield on the 3K NAM -
that's why most long range guidance should be taken with a grain of salt good or bad its subject to wild changes...
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
the last 8-9 yrs have been an absolute blowtorch overall -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
2012 was great once we all accepted it wasn't coming. Morch had a couple days in the 80's here and the month as a whole was warm sunny and dry. I'll take it again -
Definitely a big takeaway...mild/snowless winters don't usually turn cold/snowy. (exceptions like 06-07 do exist) So had to be skeptical of calls of a big pattern from mid Feb to mid March-in reality it will be a window of about 10-12 days like the one in January.
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Just have to hope we don't get late March/early April onshore flow garbage...
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Big part of the reason cold was lacking this year....
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
There's little to no snowcover over the midwest and great lakes region too-so any "cold air" will modify bigly not to mention ice free great lakes -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
All in cycles too...70's to 90's were not great, 2000-2018 was great....2019-? crap -
yep-fast flow might be our final nail. if it comes down to that it will be 2 brief intervals of cold/snow chances in an incredibly warm winter.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
he's just looking for a reaction-classic troll -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Once we got to Mid Jan after a 45 day torch and that "good pattern" was reduced to 8 days before yet another long torch it was over. Rare for ratter winters to suddenly turn good if the worm doesn't turn by the end of January. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Seasonal Trend. "what the winter does in December, winter will remember" Warm/snowless winters tend to stay that way. We had a brief window in January, one should have been suspicious of calls for a 4-5 week good/great pattern based on the seasonal trend...
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Shows you how awful it's been. Our last good pattern was 3 yrs ago. (no, I don't consider Jan 2024 good-it was an 8-9 day island in a sea of torch.)
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I remember being mildy upset it was ruined. The 5 days of 80 degrees to close it out was something else...
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Think it's bad here? Look at the snowcover map of the upper midwest in the NE forum....bare ground into S Canada (which will likely modify any "cold air" coming our way not to mention ice free great lakes.)
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you be the judge...
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Brutal for industries that rely on snow/cold/ice cover. Almost every station across the US has below normal seasonal snowfall this year... -
For once you live in the perfect spot for that...
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if you look nationwide almost every station is below or well below average snowfall for the date....amazing bad on a national level.
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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
Brian5671 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
That ship has sailed...