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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. They are looking at yesterday's model runs...
  2. As Yogi Berra said, it's getting late early (For this one) Time to move on....
  3. Very rare for us to get a SECS/MECS without the Euro showing it 4 days out
  4. The Euro is THAT good. Always shows no storm this year and it's been right! LOL
  5. 100% agree. Not having the Euro on board is a problem
  6. Flat as a pancake. Either it's going to score a coup here or get embarrassed by the GFS/CMC
  7. Explains why the models are especially bad this winter....
  8. I think anyone that has been doing this for awhile knew that a perfect setup at day 6 was unlikely to hold regardless of model performance. The Euro showing nothing at 12z yesterday was also big red flag.
  9. Been playing kick the can since 1/25. Still early and we weren't going to be in the bullseye 5 days straight...but the worrying thing is that most of these storms have been wide right this year. OP euro not having anything is concerning... See what happens tomorrow...
  10. it's east of 12z but who cares at this lead time
  11. Euro is the 2nd highest scoring model yet we hear "it's struggled this year" Blah blah blah...but still 5 days away but we weren't going to stay in the bullseye all that time.
  12. IF it's like the euro it's a miss then.
  13. Post more please Post less please
  14. yep if the euro had showed a HECS it would be hailed as great model and a list of storms it nailed. Instread it's a terrible model that has "struggled" all winter. It did quite well this year on the 12/26/25 storm BTW
  15. with marginal temps would need heavier precip otherwise urban areas could have trouble accumulating lighter rates
  16. The GEFS are vastly different that the OP GFS-would you toss the GFS op? Nope b/c it shows the preferred solution
  17. People hear what they want to hear-got to look at it all and the seasonal trend-when was the last time we had a benchmark storm?
  18. It's not. It's near the top for performance. I was mostly kidding above but we've seen the last 2 bigger storms miss to the S and E so it's possible but at day 5-6 anything's on the table
  19. march is often warm and snowless these days anyway
  20. lets hope we don't see the further N and E trend that we often see with some of these Miller B's
  21. Social media hysteria will commence shortly.
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