Brian5671

That's the key here-southern areas want a heavy thump of snow up front then went the sleet gets there it's mostly done with

Happens alot-the Dec 2020 was a good example where the sleet line ended up further north and the NAM was the only model that had it. That said the NAM has been all over the place with this one.

Upton has 5-9 here-depends on banding. GFS is a wet outlier which is quite unusual

upton going 5-9 here-all will depend on banding...

Probably get 3~4 quick inches with that then maybe another 1-2

Your missing my point I’m talking about its ability to sniff out mid level warmth

No but I bet it’s further north than most think

We go through this every year the Nam is good at showing the mix line which always ends up further north in the end alot of denial out there

Come on the best has shifted north

looks a bit like the euro with that heavy swath north of NYC-windshield wiper effect right now

too bad-if it were 2 days earlier....

let's hear your thoughts instead of complaining about people on a weather board being excited for some snow

RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 107 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 CTZ005-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179-250215- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0004.251226T2100Z-251227T1800Z/ Northern Fairfield-Southern Fairfield-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)- Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Southwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens- Southern Nassau- 107 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions may impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc

even on regular storms with a SW to NE movement orientation you see that on the NW fringe....

I'm flying out of Tweed Sat am-rooting for nothing there and 10 inches here...LOLZ

Icon? is this even a serious model?

Going to be wild-I could see nothing here to maybe 5 inches lol

way too early for that...still could miss with the S trends on several models

Euro has been slowly bumping south which makes sense with the blocking trending stronger

No Feb week off here anymore just a long weekend. First 5 days are made up in June then they take from April break...which I have not seen happen in the 12 yrs my kids have been in school here Today's a half day throwaway day with kids watching movies-my sons didn't want today canceled lol. (which it wasnt)

Yep if we end up with a bunch of snow events even small those days add up and we still have schools with no AC so deep into June we go....last few years have been lean so it's worked out but this winter might be different

CT banned remote learning a few years back (in public schools) b/c it was such a disaster-so if there's a snow day it's getting made up in June.

White rain here 35. Super made the right call keeping school open today

Given the strength of the block it might end up being that way (shredded)