yep if the euro had showed a HECS it would be hailed as great model and a list of storms it nailed. Instread it's a terrible model that has "struggled" all winter. It did quite well this year on the 12/26/25 storm BTW
It's not. It's near the top for performance. I was mostly kidding above but we've seen the last 2 bigger storms miss to the S and E so it's possible but at day 5-6 anything's on the table