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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. almost always a northern correction within 24-36 hrs on these systems....
  2. some of the 12z runs have a bit of an inverted trough feature over the region...
  3. Dry soil will only help the cause-imagine if we did not get that 1-3 inches of rain last weekend
  4. A couple fall noreasters would wipe out that drought map...
  5. Cutoff lows notoriously difficult with precip placement. But would be nice to get another dump of rain and on a Monday-that would be great
  6. yep even the day 15 fantasy heat maps weren't there
  7. doesn't even show rain in the hourly obs today either-something is broken there
  8. moderate rain here-looks like another 1-2 hrs before it tapers off
  9. models already drying up for the weekend as well-mostly N and W of NYC and not much along the coast
  10. Same story most years-most forecasts are too bullish...it's more than just warm water to fuel the storms
  11. Euro has little to no rain NYC S and E through Sun. Others are wetter. I'm going Euro all the way given the dry conditions
  12. Dry begets dry. I think 3 of the last 4 summers/fall here have been dry.
  13. Just beyond bone dry here-looks like a desert. Even drier than 2023 and last fall.
  14. locally the June heatwave was the big event of the summer-3 days of 98 or 99 which is impressive for here as we don't even get that many 90 degree days
  15. you're in a relative warm spot around this forum-Euro showed 100-102 degree heat for many a week out...never happened
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