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Everything posted by Brian5671
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OBS for OKX Flood Watch (attached) into early Saturday 5/10/25
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
HRRR shows the northern extent filling in a bit-nails Suffolk and CT and the hudson valley -
OBS for OKX Flood Watch (attached) into early Saturday 5/10/25
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
seems larger than modeled-almost no precip outside of one band moving through now-maybe it fills in a bit later-but the flood watch for some areas may be over-done -
OBS for OKX Flood Watch (attached) into early Saturday 5/10/25
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like a relative dry slot for NYC and much of NJ -
big dry slot for NJ and NYC
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Great day here sunny and 74
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2 parts-the front slipping down from the north gets activated later today but that activity is mainly N and W of the city. Then a wave/storm forms on the stalled front and moves up late tonight/tomorrow-ending late day/early eve
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It'll bust...3K nam is much faster and over by late afternoon
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NE PA getting pounded by severe
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It could but I doubt we see a cool summer given the guidance
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Looks torchy and wet like many of our recent summers...
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Getting pounded here with downpours again
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Waterlogged here after all night showers/downpours with more incoming-going to be one wet week if the Friday event verifies
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off and on tropical downpours here all afternoon
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Crushed here-but it's moved NW of us now so rates have lightened up.
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Hvy rain moved in here...61 degrees
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yeah-something like that you need a lead time to reschedule vendors etc. It's never an easy call that's for sure. The models had bailed on the rains but it took another day for forecasts to catch up. Other things like a little league game you can wait til day of...
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Models always struggle with these cutoffs and the placement of the rains at a given hour
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Just mist and drizzle here so far. 61 degrees
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steady rain has commenced here
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I think by Wednesday we will all be tired of rain...
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3K NAM crushes us all
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That slug of rain in S NJ may be a problem - NAMS coming in very wet for many here
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Models are wet Mon-Wed-althought placement of the big rains is still a bit in the air 3K NAM
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Machines ahead of the humans on this one-models backed off 36 hrs ago
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The front ended up further north-hence the forcing up that way....