Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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then we may not know for another couple days-alot of time you see a correction west when they chase convection
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a model with very low skill scores-bottom of the list I believe
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Got to see what real models have to say-the ICON is pretty bad but agree would have liked to see something better
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Agreed. there's a good 15 inches here maybe compacted down to 10-12 but the piles are huge
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No-euro and euro AI led on that one
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Let's hope we see Euro/AI move west now
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Yeah agreed. Looked like a weird double low at first too-might be some convective feedback?
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not really they are further east
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Weird 2 low thing there-just missing the phase
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it's a mess here too even today-large snowbanks, sidewalks still uncleared-most schools had a 2 hr delay or closure today
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amazing how many people (in general) don't know the difference b/w Freezing rain, sleet and hail
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convective feedback issues-2 lows showing
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50-75 miles further NW would do it. Right where you want the GFS at this lead time!
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Northern Canada is a very data sparse region....
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ah yes the crazy Dec 1989 pattern.
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I doubt there's ever been a storm where Hatteras gets a foot and we get nothing
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CFS is a horrid model
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If it misses the general public will say it was overhyped/bust
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getting a snow squall now-another 1/2 inch -
Go with ensembles at this range-OP models still a bit out of range
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2/5/10 and 2/10/10 was a close miss....
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We could end up with a moderate event say 4-6 inches-that's on the table too
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I wouldntt worry too much about the shield-even last storm you saw it get wetter as we approached. A bombing low to the BM will deliver
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15 here, 35.5 on the season
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15 inches here final. 95% snow
