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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. helps that the waters off NJ are a bit cooler than normal...every little bit helps right?!?!
  2. Need to see the other models move towards it before I bite
  3. GFS develops the coastal further offshore which helps keep everyone snow
  4. This is where we say the GFS is a good model and that it nailed such and such event
  5. 1AM monday I don't really see a dry slot. The coastal hopefully takes over and flings some moisture back
  6. Even at that most take the high end. If NWS says 6-12 the average joe says "we are getting 12 inches of snow"
  7. how do we get something historic? Seems like an inch of QPF so even best case 15 inches if all snow
  8. GFS was too cold for the last event 12/26-27
  9. The wildcard is the coastal-if that forms and starts to move NE the colder mid levels may stay for areas especially north of the city
  10. From suppression to mixing in 24 hrs...lol At least we are getting the storm-suppression with 10 degree cold would have sucked royally
  11. Climo. How many storms do we get that are 100% snow. This is a SWFE which often flips to non snow at the end
  12. that's great but it's the mid levels that matter. No one is raining. Surface will be plenty cold.
  13. Its the mid levels. Those will warm-it's just a matter of when.
  14. (remote learning) CT too-they outlawed it-thank god
  15. True-but will be interesting to see if the other models follow suit-GFS will be interesting
  16. wonder if that's the new data being injected into the models from the balloons or whatever they did out west
  17. been a trend all day-continue northward ticks...
  18. Terrible. BDR did that-they showed 14 for 1996 which is absurd
  19. yep as the dry slot approaches could flip to lighter sleet or even ZR
  20. That enhanced stripe kissing LI is likely the coastal impacts...
  21. The trolling shtick got old a decade ago....
  22. doubt it actually happens that way but who cares it shows a great event
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