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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. TV is always going to be conservative this far out-by tomorrow different story
  2. GFS ticked east so maybe a meet in the middle scenario is unfolding
  3. that fact that everything has moved towards it this morning is a good sign
  4. imagine going from a miss to talking about mixed precip in 24 hrs...oh wait we did that on 1/25
  5. watches by this afternoon for some areas
  6. 6z had nothing north of ACY and now it's up to NYC
  7. NAM is good for rain/snow/ice lines-usually correct 24-48 hrs in
  8. models that show a good solution are good models. Euro was trash model until 18z when it became great again
  9. Juno. The Euro and NAM were too far west
  10. I dont stay up anymore I just look at how many pages there are since I went to bed-lots I know it's good...
  11. and then when it doesn't happen they will say "They are never right"
  12. should be new data by 0z I would think. If it's still there then I'd be a little more interested
  13. it's either the greatest coup of all time or the GFS being the GFS
  14. too much of a good thing-cold and blocking-PV too far south-bone dry since 1/25 with a .25 liquid equiv since then
  15. It may show one more crazy solution especially since the 18z run often is a weenie run
  16. Getting late early....down to about 3 weeks before climo really works against us
  17. The Tuesday 12z runs were the big ones-backed off after that...
  18. Hopefully we torch after that week....it's pretty much over by then anyway
  19. and all the models were on board last year even the Euro....same issues with the fast PAC flow....
  20. Yep I remember it-the Euro took it away at 12z that day and it never came back and the rest of the models lost it right about that time. Winter was essentially over at that point I don't think it snowed again and march was fairly mild if I remember correctly
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