BuffaloWeather

Pretty sure I'm off Weds and will be chasing this at max elevation on Chautuaqua ridge.

Extrapolating those numbers of 25k cases in Erie county and 920k population, 200k in Erie county have had the virus or 21.7% of the population.

Todays numbers

start applying

There are patterns that benefit the entire region. A clipper one is the easiest choice. SW winds in front, NW behind. 1-3 to 3-6 synoptic followed by lake effect, one after another with reinforcing shots of colder air. Miller Bs usually benefit the entire forum as well. Miller As usually target one specific region western/central/or eastern NY.

In regards to the Orchard Park gym owner... An Orchard Park gym owner whose defiance of Covid-19 restrictions has earned him national attention has been accused of responding to a customer requesting a refund with a racist, profanity-laced attack. Robert Dinero, owner of Athletes Unleashed, in July told the woman he would refund the $395 she was owed but not before calling her a "filthy, foreign, Third-World country piece of (expletive)" in his reply, which was punctuated with two other curse words https://buffalonews.com/news/local/gym-owner-who-defied-covid-19-rules-slammed-over-racist-profane-email/article_bd9b4ab2-31a9-11eb-b6f6-5ba96c79750d.html.

The actual infections in the US are likely over 100 million. You cannot go based on confirmed cases as most are asymptomatic or minor symptoms. The CDC just said likely infections are 8 times confirmed infections. Between vaccines and herd immunity, this thing is toast come summer.

The last 3 days have been +8, +14, +10 for temps

That airmass for the next storm.

GEFS looking good, especially for eastern areas.

He also didn't tell anyone to cancel thanksgiving. The rules are to keep it under 10 people.

Pretty sure that's fake news. This is how conspiracy theories start and how Trump is able to control so many people with it. The protestors, Terese said, also told her that Cuomo may have had his 89-year-old mother with him during this visit, something that seems strange on the face of it. Defenders of Cuomo have said it is impossible that Cuomo was in Western New York since he did an Albany radio show at noon that day. Further, the idea that Cuomo’ would bring his 89 year old mother with him lends an air of utter improbability to the story, they say. Artvoice contacted State Police and Amherst Police and were told by both that, as far as they knew, Cuomo was not in the area on Thanksgiving.

The next system on GFS is perfect track, but a rainstorm. We're really using up all our good tracks on 35 degrees and rain aren't we. Need a better airmass.

Here is one from last event. https://www.wkbw.com/news/local-news/more-than-40-homes-damaged-in-hoover-beach-wind-storm

It is and opps!

I mean Australia had next to no flu cases this year, the masks, social distancing, and washing hands work. Scientists might be smarter then us.

This is also the reason there are a lot of false positives with covid tests. Many people have tested positive/negative in the same day. This is because the viral load might not be sufficient enough to qualify for a positive covid test so in the same day you can test positive/negative depending on viral load and how much gets on the swab.

https://www.wgrz.com/article/news/local/new-storm-more-damage-hamburg-hoover-beach-hit-hard-by-storm/71-1f4b2973-c5a2-419f-9185-2502ef8553a7

UK

We need some cold air behind these clippers to really get it going but yes our entire forum does well in Clipper patterns.

Yeah, not really feeling it. Thermal issues, track issues, warm lake issues, shear issues, airmass issues. Too many issues. Final call Dusting-2" lower elevations. 3-7" Chautauqua ridge.

GFS has a nice little clipper pattern developing. It's been far too long since we've had one of those. It's by far my favorite pattern. They are more common in Ninas with an active northern jet.

Any snow in Buffalo will be Tuesday night into Weds afternoon.

EPS