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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. I mean Australia had next to no flu cases this year, the masks, social distancing, and washing hands work. Scientists might be smarter then us.
  2. This is also the reason there are a lot of false positives with covid tests. Many people have tested positive/negative in the same day. This is because the viral load might not be sufficient enough to qualify for a positive covid test so in the same day you can test positive/negative depending on viral load and how much gets on the swab.
  3. https://www.wgrz.com/article/news/local/new-storm-more-damage-hamburg-hoover-beach-hit-hard-by-storm/71-1f4b2973-c5a2-419f-9185-2502ef8553a7
  4. We need some cold air behind these clippers to really get it going but yes our entire forum does well in Clipper patterns.
  5. Yeah, not really feeling it. Thermal issues, track issues, warm lake issues, shear issues, airmass issues. Too many issues. Final call Dusting-2" lower elevations. 3-7" Chautauqua ridge.
  6. GFS has a nice little clipper pattern developing. It's been far too long since we've had one of those. It's by far my favorite pattern. They are more common in Ninas with an active northern jet.
  7. Any snow in Buffalo will be Tuesday night into Weds afternoon.
  8. Yeah its getting bad and quick. We made the NY Times https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/26/nyregion/buffalo-covid-rates.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20201127&instance_id=24517&nl=the-morning&regi_id=137071596&segment_id=45535&te=1&user_id=5f09e984e56b8b65a7cb5168a5eece04 And the Covid-19 hotline for Erie County, where Buffalo is situated, is getting “annihilated,” the health commissioner said, with 1,500 calls in one 24-hour period this week.
  9. Yesterday BUF was +14 on the day. Even when you think we're around normal were blowing past climo lol
  10. The track is fine, just a warm airmass. No source of cold air at this moment. That changes mid month. Starting to like the look the 2nd half of December.
  11. First time I've seen some true arctic air in the long range. - EPO mid month?
  12. Yeah a lot of the mandatory testing will go away with schools and colleges going full remote. I still think community spread is rampant and based on what I saw yesterday we will see a big uptick in 2 weeks.
  13. Hospitalizations are way up. We blew past the first wave already.
  14. Positivity rate back up today. Our county led all of NYS in confirmed cases. Worldometers said 933 cases yesterday in Erie county. 2nd place was Suffolk with 651
  15. Yeah I would hate that. Really cold in the winter, cool summers, and very little snow (outside mountain regions). I'd rather be on the beaches in Florida.
  16. GEM took a step towards the Euro. Miss the storm and the lake effect. Not looking good.
  17. Looks like GFS is hitting right where the consensus GEFS were near Erie/Cleveland
  18. NAM looks like its going to be more progressive at hour 84 Icon is similar to rest of model guidance and a nice SW flow LES event.
  19. Indexes. We can work with this in December. We will be lacking a -EPO which IMO is the most important index for our area.
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