BuffaloWeather

Cuomo said 70% of spread is through at home gatherings which is impossible to stop. Unlikely we go to red. Should go back to Yellow as Niagara counties infection rate is higher than Eries right now. He brought out the live vaccine on his conference today. Said they are ready to distribute as soon as they get the ok from FDA in around 2 weeks.

Hoping for a Dec 15th-Jan 15th like 1998-99 Nina event.

The PV is not over Hudson Bay there. It's still pretty far north. Our only hope is for SSW to break it apart later in Dec. into Jan. I never realized how much we depend on pieces of the PV to break off for our area to get into good patterns. Basically if you have a strong PV you get a below average snowfall winter here. As cold air is a necessity for LES.

This is what a perfect track is giving SNE for the next storm... Get me cold air and you'll get snow. These totals would be 10-20"+ if they had any cold air.

GEFS look fine too. Is it best pattern of all time, no. Its serviceable though. Dec 12-20th look fine.

I mean EPS look fine. It's Mid December next week, don't need below normal temps anymore.

The middle of December will feature some chances at snow, just no big arctic air intrusion until at least the end of December.

We get a negative EPO for a few days and PNA goes negative. Really tough to get cold air around here now a days.

Here is video of it

I looked at my cam and didn't pick up the comet. Looks like it hit new Syracuse. My cams face north and south, so it wouldn't pick up east.

No cold air anywhere. Need a really amped system to generate enough dynamics for cooling. Just don't see that here.

There you go @Thinksnow18 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Perrysburg 9.2 in 1104 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer Cattaraugus 9.0 in 0700 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer South Dayton 6.0 in 1105 AM 12/02 Post Office Little Valley 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer Franklinville 4.0 in 0654 AM 12/02 Cocorahs 6 NNE Olean 2.0 in 1000 AM 12/02 Public ...Chautauqua County... Sherman 12.0 in 0957 AM 12/02 Dept of Highways Mayville 10.5 in 1000 AM 12/02 Dept of Highways 2 SW Forestville 10.0 in 1000 AM 12/02 Public 2 S Fredonia 8.0 in 0230 AM 12/02 Public 1 W Fredonia 5.5 in 0500 AM 12/02 Cocorahs Lakewood 4.0 in 0800 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer Silver Creek 3.0 in 0800 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer Dunkirk 2.3 in 0800 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer ...Erie County... Springville 8.3 in 0144 PM 12/02 Trained Spotter 5 NW Springville 6.0 in 0640 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter 4 ESE North Boston 5.0 in 0645 AM 12/02 Cocorahs 2 NW Yorkshire 4.7 in 0700 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter 3 ENE Holland 4.5 in 0804 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter 5 E East Aurora 3.8 in 0800 AM 12/02 CO-OP Observer 2 NNE Tonawanda 3.7 in 1154 AM 12/02 Cocorahs Buffalo Airport 3.4 in 0700 AM 12/02 ASOS Elma 2.7 WSW 3.4 in 0700 AM 12/02 COCORAHS Hamburg 2.8 in 0140 PM 12/02 Public 5 NE Angola on the Lake 2.6 in 0630 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter Orchard Park 2.0 in 0800 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter 2 N Tonawanda 1.5 in 0931 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter Lancaster 1.0 in 1030 AM 12/02 Public

I have it all saved, so I'll go back and check both cams.

time stamp?

I've dodged it for awhile, but finally came into direct contact with a confirmed case. Going to get tested later this week. My mom has stage 4 cancer and have to take her to Roswell for treatment next weds, so really thinking I don't want to risk it even with negative test.

On the next episode of what's next in the year 2020.

It's spreading like crazy in Western NY. We didn't get hit hard in wave 1, but wave 2 it's everywhere.

All the models suck now a days. Need to get within 2-3 days to have any chance of happening.

That's because the blocking is too close. Need a more east based -NAO.

That high pushes the system south on 12Z

Ohio was definitely the winner "What a storm. No power with trees and branches down all over. Think we had anywhere from 18-20” of cement. Generators and chainsaws will be heard for a few days."

It hit Ohio instead with 2 feet+

Snow Totals. 2.8" storm total here. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF