BuffaloWeather

Wow, thats a great spot.

whats elevation there at your spot?

Looks good for you wolf tbh.

It's a much better look then Mid/late December last year, thats for sure, and then January was a super torch. For late Dec-Feb average temps give you snow.

We have 8-10 people going up to Adirondacks next weekend to hike 17 miles of trails. Hoping for something good, depth at high peaks looks decent, not great.

After that cutter GEFS look right around normal for temps. Mid 30s across the area for highs.

Canadian looks pretty good.

Next chance of snow around the area Then as the cold front tied to the low swings through by Sunday night, potential remains for an active period of lake effect to develop early next week. Plenty of time to start looking at more details on that as we move later into this week. Well aside from higher elevations in tug on Weds Not sure we will need an advisory for this event as temps are marginal and snow rates even on Tug Hill Wednesday will likely remain less than 1/2" per hour. It will just snow for a while so that will allow for totals to reach vcnty of 3-5 inches by time snow diminishes late Wednesday night lastly on the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario. Breezy for some areas too as sfc low tracking northern Ontario to Quebec results in gusty west-southwest winds with gusts over 30 mph on Wednesday, especially to northeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.

And just like that the last few GFS runs look pretty good. A few LES events and 2 synoptic systems. Models are completely lost, trust nothing outside 3-4 days.

I like snow, but would never move for it. I didn't realize there were people that would spend millions to see snow like some of the posters up in the NE forums. That is literally insane. I actually prefer the heat and sun to it, but LES bands are something that would be tough to live without.

Could always head to the mountains of Italy

A guy at my wifes church is in his 50s with cancer and covid and has been on a ventilator for weeks. He passed 2 days ago.

Catching 1 in 5 means 1 million new actual cases a day. I know so many people with covid right now in the area its crazy. The first 2 waves didn't hit here like the 3rd is.

We were likely well above 100k cases during first wave if we had the testing capabilities. New York city antibodies were around 20% after the first wave.

Euro is actually below normal after that cutter.

Euro is pretty serviceable.

It's definitely tough where you live. You need synoptic with Lake enhanced on the back side. That is where Rochester does its best. The biggest of dogs are where most of us live though. Only in LES can you get a 100" storm.

Did you move to Pulaski yet?

If it's not going to snow, lets get some 50s and sun around here.

Alaska has been the place to be the last few years. Nonstop cold and snow there. I think it has to do with that warm pool of pac waters up there the last few years. Its the only anomaly that would explain this pattern

Jeez, that looks terrible lol. 4-6 weeks of PAC flow in a Nina?

Lots of cold air in Canada?

A decent LES band behind that cutter next Monday on GFS