BuffaloWeather

Long range didn't look that great today, massive changes in overall pattern from run to run.

This map is from yesterday at 12:49.

@Thinksnow18 mike cejka teasing us

Temps still pretty marginal, need that -EPO to kick in later this month.

BUF- 2" Roc- 5" Syr- 6" Bing-15" Alb- 12"

There will definitely be enhancement on south shore, likely adds another 1-3" on top of the totals.

GFS

All the 12z models came in a bit further SE. Not expecting more then 1-2" here.

Here she comes

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/54203-dec-16-17-storm-obs-thread/

Should we make a new thread for reporting on this event, or not worthy? We can keep this one focused on upcoming events/pattern?

Looks like Saturday is going to be a great day of hiking in the Adirondacks. Doing the Santorini ridge, about 17 miles. Should have a decent amount of snow up there too. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 29.

Matts in town today. Brought the snow hole with him.

Buffalo picked up 1/2" yesterday. Currently at 6.9" on the season and -13.3" below normal on season. December we are at +3.4 for temps. Lake Erie temp is +3 above normal at 42 degrees.

Buffalo has a nice shield up, no snow allowed.

Down Hill because of Tug Hill. Change your username tug.

Check my post above, seems moderna vaccine does.

Some more vaccine news released from the FDA review of the Moderna data. In the Moderna study, they apparently swabbed all trial participants prior to their second dose and found that there was also a reduction in asymptomatic transmission by 64%. This is a follow up on a couple posts I had with OSU and Hoosier last week regarding the Pfizer/Biontech study. That study looked at only symptomatic patients so it is possible the vaccines are only effective at preventing symptoms/reducing disease severity and not necessarily preventing infection. This new data from Moderna provides more evidence that the Moderna vaccine probably does both. Since the vaccines are both using the same technology, I think it's a safe assumption that both mRNA vaccines will provide similar benefits to the recipient. And hopefully they are even more potent at preventing transmission after both doses because the finding was only after the first dose. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1251237?__twitter_impression=true

I talked to a nurse yesterday and she said she is sick of wearing masks all day at work. She said before covid they really only wore them during surgical procedures.

From my research it seems reinfection is pretty rare. I'm sure you can get it again but the symptoms would be very minor? I'm not sure if you get reinfected if you're still contagious the 2nd bout, I would presume you would be however rare it is.

Yeah that's pretty bad. That likely changes this year, sometime in January.

Xmas day is all kinds of

Welcome!! How far from long lake? I'll be there this weekend! 21/46er here, do you do any climbing?

GFS Ratios will likely be 1:15 or so.