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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    Tossed. What even is that? Leftover inverted trough just hanging out over all of us?
  2. BuffaloWeather
    I'm starting to like this more for areas SW of Lake Ontario. Looks like we should be able to get some enhancement with a more northern track, especially ROC.
  3. BuffaloWeather
    HRRR
  4. BuffaloWeather
    Maybe the CIPS analogs were onto something? Lots of good hits for Upstate in there. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=MV&fhr=F048&rundt=2020121500&map=thbCOOP72
  5. BuffaloWeather
    Yep, chance of 6"+ at ROC (Based on this NAM run)
  6. BuffaloWeather
  7. BuffaloWeather
    NAM came further north. Looks like 3-6" for WNY.
  8. BuffaloWeather
    First vaccines going to first responders in WNY today, Also @rochesterdave Let us know how it goes tomorrow.
  9. BuffaloWeather
    Looks to be an all timer for almost all of PA, that's a massive hit for them.
  10. BuffaloWeather
    I think we actually get winter in January this year. Nov/Dec have been way above normal for temps, and 10/12 months above. We're due for a below average month sometime in the Jan-March window. Even normal/slightly below normal temps in January brings us all snow as precip. type.
  11. BuffaloWeather
    This is awesome I didn't even know about it. What were the max snowfall totals? 100 Cm+ would be 40"+
  12. BuffaloWeather
    Best run of the year so far with those clippers and cold air. We would all be getting several inches of snow nearly every day for that entire week.
  13. BuffaloWeather
    HPC seems overzealous in our area getting a decent event
  14. BuffaloWeather
    Just the Bills luck that when we finally get good we can't even go to games. Our first home playoff game in 25 years.
  15. BuffaloWeather
    @Thinksnow18 First time seeing this storm while doing some research. Pretty unique area of highest snow totals
  16. BuffaloWeather
    GFS has been extremely consistent for the next storm though. It's off on its own. It's either going to score a coop of epic proportions or go to the dumpster.
  17. BuffaloWeather
    Of course it would, its 9 days out. That's what model watching is all about.
  18. BuffaloWeather
    A nice NW flow LES event 2 days before christmas on GFS @TugHillMatt
  19. BuffaloWeather
    Euro and GFS Ensembles for anything beyond day 5. Within 1-4 days and combo of Euro/UK/GFS/GEM. Avoid NAM and RGEM until within 48 hours, unless lake effect snow.
  20. BuffaloWeather
    I'm pretty sure the SREFS are based on the WRF extended models. NMM and ARW. They're terrible, just like the ICON. If you click on this and go to right middle part of page you can select model cores. NMM/ARW https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
  21. BuffaloWeather
    I'm the same way. December is my favorite winter month, followed by January. Feb/March are usually lame as Erie is frozen. So if we lose rest of December we got 30 days left of winter. Synoptic just doesn't do it for me.
  22. BuffaloWeather
    Hopefully we see a pattern change for Jan. April and May were the only months below normal this year. Every other month was substantially warmer. I thought La Ninas were not as warm as El Ninos were for our area? Or is it just global warming is taking over any ENSO state? Jan +8.1 Feb +3.1 March +7.3 April -2.5 May -.9 June +.8 July +6.5 August +3.9 Sep +2.2 Oct +1.0 Nov +5.8 Dec +4.0
  23. BuffaloWeather
  24. BuffaloWeather
    Yeah I don't really see much in the long range. A roller coaster pattern, averaging 2-3 degrees above normal.
  25. BuffaloWeather
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