BuffaloWeather

That's 17-31" Tonight Snow. Low around 27. Northwest wind 6 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Christmas Day Snow. High near 29. West wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Friday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 21. Southwest wind 15 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Saturday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Saturday Night Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 23. West wind 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Sunday A chance of snow showers before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Definitely going to be a flash freeze overnight. There are ponds of water all over the roads with so much rain. ...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW FOR WESTERN NY... RAIN, ALONG WITH SOME FREEZING RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER, WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BETWEEN 6 AND 9 PM. THE CHANGEOVER HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF THE STATE. CLOSER TO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA, SNOW IS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER, EXPECT AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW OVER A GLAZE OF ICE. OVER THE REST OF WESTERN NY, EXPECT ABOUT 1 INCH OF SNOW BY 9PM. ROADS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SLIPPERY AS THE WINTRY WEATHER MOVES IN.

Is this the 3rd storm this year you guys thought nothing was coming and ended up jack-potting? The theme of this year is the storm goes 50-100 miles further west than modeled last minute. Definitely Torontos winter so far. What are you guys at so far?

Even got the table on the deck ready for a photo op for you guys.

I think it’s going to be sooner than that. Getting food along Hamburg lakeshore at lucias. and full sleet here. Small shoutout but lucias was rated as a top 100 restaurant in entire United States. The food is the best I’ve ever had. Getting lobster tail tonight with a nice whisky while I watch the snow fall. Utopia tonight fellas!

34 degrees and starting to mix

Kbuf increased totals over my place 24-30 across south towns

The Christmas music and a lake snow warning was pretty much my utopia as a kid.

GEFS pretty tightly clustered, pretty much now casting time

Anyone remember the old school weather channel on the 8s forecast. I remember watching this for dec 1995 LES event in the city as a kid. The nostalgia lol.

Looks like we get a slightly better Pacific into the new year

some mid 40s lake temps still showing up.

My cam link for anyone interested https://video.nest.com/live/7Lel0fR0Ox

https://video.nest.com/live/7Lel0fR0Ox

lake temps in the lowers 40s with 850s in the -13 to -15 range should create snowfall rates near 3" per hour in best bands

I figured out how to create a timelapse with my nest cam.

Look at lake Michigan firing

We change to snow between 4-6 pm, look at those lakes firing.

If I squint is that a sliver of 24-30" along the lakeshore?

I just want ya'll to remember I said 1-2' across most of Erie county when things were looking pretty grim a few days ago.

NWS Update: Heavy Lake Effect Snow Possible Friday Night Through Saturday Night off Lake Ontario. Off Lake Erie...Friday night still appears to be the period for heaviest lake effect snow off of Lake Erie, as there will be plenty of lingering synoptic moisture to aid the lake response. DGZ will be saturated, which will produce large dendritic flakes. Fairly well aligned low level flow will become southwesterly, shifting the lake band northward through the night. This will shift the main focus from southern Erie and Wyoming counties during the first half of the night, north into central Erie (including Metro Buffalo and the Southtowns), southwestern Genesee and northwestern Wyoming counties for the second half of the night. Snowfall rates may reach up to 2"/hr at times in the heart of the band and there may be some thundersnow. Winds gusting to 35 MPH will also cause significant blowing and drifting snow. Saturday morning, the band will shift a bit further north, mainly impacting northern Erie and western Genesee Counties. This may possibly bring a burst of snow (several inches) to the Northtowns, while Metro Buffalo remains in the heart of the band. Saturday afternoon, synoptic moisture gets stripped away and inversion heights begin to drop. Band may produce a couple more inches before pushing south and weakening Saturday night as drier air starts to build in. Winter Storm and Lake Effect Snow Warnings remain in place through Saturday. Off Lake Ontario...now appears that there will be a pretty good lull in the action before lake effect activity gets cranking here. Thus the Winter Storm Watch start time has been pushed back by 18 hours and will now be in effect from 7 PM Friday night through 7 AM Sunday. That said, lake effect snow should get cranking Friday night east-northeast and northeast of Lake Ontario, mainly impacting Jefferson (metro Watertown) and northern Lewis counties, including the northern Tug. Saturday will likely see the heaviest lake snows for this event with up to 1-2"/hr possible at times, owed to additional synoptic moisture to work with and a saturated DGZ producing large dendritic flakes. Expect LES snowbands to remain across Jefferson/Lewis counties and the northern Tug Saturday morning, before shifting more to the east of the Lake across central/southern Jefferson, far northern Oswego and central Lewis counties Saturday afternoon and evening as winds become more westerly. Winds gusting 30-35 MPH will also cause significant blowing and drifting snow. Bands will will begin to weaken and shift south later Saturday night as drier air filters in and inversion heights come down. Headline will remain a Winter Storm Watch here as some uncertainty remains in the evolution and placement of the heaviest snow bands. Sunday morning there may be a quick spray of lighter lake effect snow showers from south to north off both lakes before completely shutting down by Sunday afternoon as a warmer, southerly flow ensues at the surface and aloft. Highs will be in the upper teens and 20s Saturday. It will be a bit warmer Sunday under a warm air advection regime ahead of the next system approaching from the west. Highs will mainly be in the low to mid 30s, with some upper 20s across the Tug Hill and western Dacks.

I have google nest cams installed in front and back of my house with 24/7 1080P live camera view if anyone is looking for a good stream.

Look at those wind gusts too, going to be blizzard like conditions at times.

Channel 4 in house just for synoptic

The best christmas gift Tonight Rain before 11pm, then snow and sleet between 11pm and midnight, then snow after midnight. Low around 28. West wind 10 to 14 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Christmas Day Snow before 8am, then snow showers likely between 8am and 4pm, then snow after 4pm. High near 29. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Friday Night Snow before 8pm, then snow showers after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 20. Breezy, with a southwest wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Saturday Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Saturday Night Snow showers, mainly before 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Sunday A chance of snow showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%