BuffaloWeather

Need to get the higher res in range. The NAM keeps a decent band with WSW winds going for quite awhile Saturday

No SW winds on the latest NAM, not sure what model they're using this is a southtown south "event". I guess we will see.

1-2' like I said.

It's outside in winter who cares, fill the stadium with at least 50% capacity for the first bills home game in 25 years.

Winds really never go SW at all on the Euro. The Euro would hit me for a bit, but even I am too far north. By early Sunday, winds are NW

What's everyone predicting for average ROI for next year? 20-30%? I'm definitely bullish in the short term. Trying to get as much as I can invested before covid goes away and stocks skyrocket.

The lake effect looks worse and worse last few runs, It looked pretty big a few days ago, still cautiously optimistic with that amount of cold air with those lake temps. We need to get all the short range models within timeframe. Tomorrow we should have a better idea.

Wolfie liked that one, max right over pulaski.

Euro, just synoptic 1:10

Drops around 18-22" at my place we take. I think all those totals get moved north a bit as lake temps are super warm for this time of year. I'd be surprised if Erie PA is jackpot at 3 feet in this setup

I'd go Winter storm warning for synoptic and lake effect snow warning. Will be interesting to see what KBUF does. They are definitely 2 separate events.

This synoptic event might be bigger than I thought. Looks good for WNY.

Trump was right in his twitter video. All these special interest and foreign entities getting a huge share of money while the suffering Americans get a measly $600...

national debt hasn't meant anything for awhile. Tesla doesn't show profits yet went from $65 dollars a share to over $600, economic policies in the past do not determine the future. Nothing makes sense anymore. Embrace it.

GFS

GFS

High RES GFS

Simulated looks like WSW off erie and WNW off ontario, weird look. I'll take it for my spot.

Not sure if posted yet, updated FD from KBUF ...Heavy Lake Effect Snow Possible Christmas through December 26... For Friday morning, there should be a brief transition from ending synoptic snow moving into Central NY and developing lake effect snow developing on a WSW flow over the lakes. The coldest aloft will still be upstream and poised to move overhead later Friday afternoon. So there may be a period Friday morning with a meager lake response before a full-blown lake response takes hold. As a result, there`s still quite a bit of uncertainty to both the start time and placement of lake effect snow. East of Lake Erie...some models move the band well into the Northtowns while others place it toward Metro Buffalo Friday afternoon. Regardless, the coldest airmass should pass overhead Friday evening and mark the period for the heaviest and most intense lake effect snow, where 2"/hr and thundersnow will be a possibility into Friday night as the band settles a little to the south overnight. East of Lake Ontario...a similar transition period is expected, with widespread snow tapering off Friday morning...followed with a lake response Friday afternoon. The most intense period should be Friday night and well into Saturday. Similar to Lake Erie however, there`s still uncertainty placement at this point through Saturday. The best chance will probably be over/north of the Tug Hill Plateau. Then another shortwave trough will move across the St Lawrence valley and should push the band south over and eventually south of the Tug Hill Plateau. With concerns noted above, the watch will stand for now until there`s more confidence in timing and placement along with corresponding snow amounts.

NAM looks pretty good, the band is still going strong beyond 84 hours Last frame

What are your thoughts on snowfall totals? I still think 1-2' is expected by sunday afternoon across most of central/southern erie county. (including the synoptic)

Post these in the general discussion, this one is just for lake effect

I think this event got pushed back 6-10 hours on these midnight runs. Does the event now go well into Sunday?

I don't even care about my place. I was saying for a truly EPIC event, you want the GFS or RGEM track, not the NAM. NAM would get everyone involved but bands would be moving quite a bit. The big time totals is what I'm hoping for.

I guess you know more then me about LES.