.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Transition over to snow slowly making its way across far western New
York late this evening. The correlation coefficient product off the
KBUF radar showing where the wintry mix is falling lining up
from western Orleans/eastern Erie/western Cattaraugus counties
with all snow west of that line and rain to the east.
Mesoscale models which were faster with the change over to snow
across western New York this evening have now slowed, but still
indicate that a transition to all snow will move eastward
overnight, perhaps getting as far east as a Rochester-Wellsville
line by morning. This slower transition to snow will cut down
on overnight snowfall amounts, especially across the Genesee
Valley, but still could see a 3-7 inch accumulation across very
far western New York, with a 2-4 inch accumulation not out of
the question for the Buffalo metro area.