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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    But it lowers residence time substantially. Not the ideal track.
  2. BuffaloWeather
    This is why we don't use the NAM LOL
  3. BuffaloWeather
    Previous runs had band going much earlier, friday morning....that band is now in NE PA.
  4. BuffaloWeather
    NAM not looking to great for synoptic or LES. Likely doesn't get the band north to Metro until really late Friday night. Definitely a step back from other model runs
  5. BuffaloWeather
    This one forecasted the max over KBUF though. I think I had 18" in this one.
  6. BuffaloWeather
    When GFS shows a band like this you know its serious.
  7. BuffaloWeather
    Definitely possible Fri Night into Sat Am.
  8. BuffaloWeather
    GFS is a little SE
  9. BuffaloWeather
    Looks wintry across Jamestown this morning, they got a couple inches overnight.
  10. BuffaloWeather
    I'm just talking in terms of snowfall distribution, not impact. This will not be as big as that. But I think all of Erie county have 1-2' by Sunday afternoon.
  11. BuffaloWeather
    Looks like a pretty wide band that covers nearly all of Erie county. Similar to 1985 event IMO. That's my analog.
  12. BuffaloWeather
    Lake Erie temps are pretty toasty
  13. BuffaloWeather
    The WNW wind direction from near Huron and the SW/WSW from across WNY will likely develop some banding structures we've seen similar to the northern end of the band in Nov 2014. Convergent winds create additional lift.
  14. BuffaloWeather
    The last frame of the RGEM is the strongest band of the run. 3" per hour rates in that thing easily. Textbook
  15. BuffaloWeather
    Look at 850s to the west and well aligned flow, moisture starts to lack but it has everything else. Will likely be strong band into early Sunday
  16. BuffaloWeather
    RGEM coming in hot. The winds become WSW and lock in nearly all day Saturday with 850s in the negative teens. Early call but going 1-2' for all of Erie county and 3' lollies somewhere in Central Erie County. The strong band likely last another 12-18 hours after the end of this run.
  17. BuffaloWeather
    Exactly I'm quite confused too, leaning towards non blockbuster event. Should be a good one though.
  18. BuffaloWeather
    Big time run on GFS for you guys. 1-2' for northtowns. This is a northtown to southtown special. SW/WSW winds.
  19. BuffaloWeather
    It's a decent track for far Western NY. It cuts up through Rochester.
  20. BuffaloWeather
    GFS brings the band really far north too into Niagara county. If this band moves that much I like KBUFs map, we won't be seeing crazy totals with it moving so much.
  21. BuffaloWeather
    It's a decent run for me, but not for everyone else.
  22. BuffaloWeather
    Gives far Western NY 4-6" before the lake effect kicks in.
  23. BuffaloWeather
    Cuts straight up.
  24. BuffaloWeather
    Yep 2 MB weaker, definitely SE. The GEFS were all farther SE, should follow the trend.
  25. BuffaloWeather
    I miss raving, ready for covid to be over.
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