BuffaloWeather

I think tomorrow afternoon if they go watches. If they go advisorys then Thursday morning.

Has been snowing pretty good here too. Has to be around 2" new last few hours. Really fine small flakes.

They're going to have to add Buffalo to WWA. A really nice deep feeded band goes all the way up into canada right over airport.

We should have a good idea about first event by Thursday Evening runs and the next event by Saturday Night. Need to get the higher res within 2 days to get an idea of wind direction and even then subtle changes with shortwaves and arctic fronts could change things. I remember that 2007 event vividly as I lived in Cheektowaga and my friends all lived in East Eden and they got stuck at our house for a few days as conditions were so bad down here. That band went much farther north then originally anticipated and hit West Seneca pretty bad.

I don't watch the local news stations, so no idea how they've been.

Lake enhancement and borderline LES right now showing up on meso. Check the circle and check the radar sig

Look at those lower heights south of Hudson Bay. Perfect cyclonic flow. It retrogrades west and makes the flow more SW on Tuesday

The band looks to drop south on Monday on GFS, but intensifies and lifts north with another shortwave that moves through. 2nd event features the best conditions aloft but a fight against building ice coverage. First event won't have to worry about ice at all.

Chase worthy stuff, or just hold off until this weekend here?

They may just keep the warning running until Wednesday. Bands will be moving around

Buy and hold, never sell.

The GFS never stops the LES, but the southern storm actually enhances it NE of the lakes. Just total weenie run incoming

That's some really cold air.

Wow you got way more than Syracuse and you're so close? I think Syr got a few inches?

Heavy snow has moved into ROC

That band is going to be dumping overnight Friday into Saturday. Has every ingredient for heavy LES.

Looks like all of WNY is going to get in on the action.

850s look a little lower for first event then I thought. Moisture is only issue, but only at end of event.

RGEM is textbook KBUF event

Lake effect snow off of Erie is the wettest of the great lakes. Our ratios are usually 1:15 to 1:20. I think it has to do with being the southern most lake and higher lake temps on average for events. A lot has to do with the flow of the wind. NW wind is usually higher ratio snow due to colder conditions. I get hit with W/SW wind which is usually not as cold resulting in lower ratios.

From Buf NWS. Periods of significant lake effect snow will be possible Friday night and Saturday, and again Sunday night and Monday.

Lake Erie will be frozen by end of next week. After that I'm cheering for NW flow for you guys!

End of NAM has strong band over Central/Northern Erie county with decent 850s and well aligned flow. I expect the LES to start north of Buffalo late friday night and slowly drift south into Saturday. The 2nd round will likely start south of Buffalo and should get up to the city early next week. (Very early call)

I thought your old location would be a much better spot for snow. It seems Caz is better?