SomeguyfromTakomaPark

I understand that it won’t be a lockdown, but it will be an enormous challenge to manage this without herd immunity for 4-5 years.

This will be an enormous challenge if the timeline is 4-5 years.

Winds are cranking now! Probably just had a 40+ mph gust.

The biggest issue DCPS was/is having with this is not knowing when this is going to end. At first they seemed to really believe the closure was only going to last 2 weeks and they haphazardly allowed teachers to do whatever in terms of schedule and didn't standardize anything in terms of learning platforms, amount of assignments, etc. Teachers zoom sessions were conflicting and students were overwhelmed with the amount of work since no one was coordinating due dates or workloads or anything. DCPS also declared that anything that happened post-closure couldn't reduce a students grade, so any work during the quarantine is counted like extra credit. I think now they are coming to terms with the fact that our year is likely over and we're adopting a district wide schedule which makes sense. I'm not sure how the 4th quarter will look in terms of grading. I don't think this experience will be anywhere near as good as actually physically going to school (obviously) but its the best we can do.

I agree with this. Just keep everything moving.

I saw a study, maybe I can find it later, that Even if you stopped 99 out of 100 flights for every impacted area, which is effectively impossibleC you only delay the pandemic by a few weeks.

The time between infection and death i was reading is generally around 1 month so hopefully once we get a month out from the SD we’ll see a drop in the death count. I know NYC had some SD implemented in mid March but didn’t do a stay at home order until March 22 so maybe this week is the worst and then we’ll see improvements.

My guess is May is mostly toast.

Is +21 deaths the biggest one day increase?

Most of the states with bad outbreaks recorded their worst, or close to worst day yet: GA, MA, CT, LA, NY, NJ, IL, MI, PA, CA

Absolutely, he’s been very visible and was quick to pull the trigger on closing the schools which is one of the most important factors.

Have been following this closely and the outbreak in Maryland looks very bad to me. Cases in 81 nursing homes is a big problem. Secondly, Maryland is reporting currently 26% of cases are hospitalized, which should be around 10% based on other states/countries. This suggests there are at least 2.6 times the number of reported cases. Thirdly, our whole region was really slow on the testing.

Light sleet/graupel in DC at 48 degrees.

Actually looks like a decent event for them.

Our long range thread has just become that one guy who posts snowmaps that show no snow over and over.

That is impressively futile. If there isn't any chance of snow I'm rooting for way AN temps so we can at least enjoy the outdoors.

How much storm total do you have?

I'll be up in the Montpelier area Friday-Monday visiting a friend. It seems like there will definitely be snow on the ground as it seems a few shortwaves will be moving through. Looking at the 10:1 clown maps I see a huge difference vs. the Kuchera maps. Just wondering if those kuchera maps ever pan out up there. I'm really hope to do some cross country skiing and sledding with my kids.

Primary is stronger on this run of the Euro, no bueno for us of course.

Pretty nice event on the GFS, by the time we lose 850s the precip is mostly gone. Looks like thump to dry slot.

Yeah you can definitely see it already, everything shunted south a bit.

Yeah but next weekend hasn’t really ever looked very promising for us. It seems like our real window starts after that.

I love in the tropical snow desert urban heat island hell that is metro Washington DC so any snow will make me happy, but it would be really cool if my visit timed up with a significant storm. Thanks for the response!

Popping in from the mid-atlantic forum. How does the MLK weekend storm look for northern Vermont (Montpelier area)? Will be visiting some friends up that way for the weekend and am REALLY hoping to catch a good storm.

Looking SW of DC it looks like a little backbuilding/pivot.