Looks pretty decent again. Enough to keep me paying attention and out of the panic room for now. Mean low is a in decent enough position, little more cold air to work with (hopefully). Let's do it all again!
36/20 in Takoma Park. I don't see why we wouldn't snow given the temp-->DP spread, the fact that it's coming in after dark, and there's no big push of warm air in the mid or upper levels right away.
Wow that does look nice. I am much more interested in this threat. Of course I would enjoy 1-3 inches on the early week threat too but the ceiling here appears to be higher.
Dont wanna derail the long range thread but @psuhoffman has some great points. I expect this to become the new norm as we were already at a marginal latitude for snow before our climate started rapidly warming. I don’t think people will really start to care until their ski resorts have to shut down permanently.
This has been very noticeable. As a runner I still haven't had to put on more than a base layer/t shirt combo for a run. I haven't even been wearing a hat! Usually in January I have to bundle up at least a few times. What's the coldest temp at DCA this season? Like mid 20s or something pathetic like that?
We need the cold. It's barely been below freezing here it seems. A cold day this winter has been like a high of 44 and a low of 33. I'm not expecting much, if anything, until we get real cold on this side of the CONUS.
I wouldn't say I'm worried, I'm happy to see a modeled storm that doesn't miss us. I'm just being cautious because with those temps it's better not to go in with huge expectations (at least where I live in urban heat island hell).
At the peak of the storm (00z Wed) you'd have to go to like I81 or State College to find temps at or below 32 while it's in the mid 30s in immediate DC metro.