SomeguyfromTakomaPark

The real problem is not the GFS, we all know usually when it’s on an island it stays there a while then gradually goes towards the others. The problem is that the Euro spit out pretty much the top shelf solution. Hard to go up from 12z, so people will be panicking over a “step back” if it shows a clean 10-15 inch storm for us. Of course it’s possible the Euro keeps some version of that solution for 21 straight runs but it isn’t likely. We have to be ready for the almost inevitable wobbling and not get totally on tilt.

He has been really good with identifying legit windows and threats. I take him more seriously than anyone really. Ever since the PSU storm in 2011 lol.

I dunno man euro op has been really good this winter IMO. And the big players have already taken the field at 120 and our storm is well on its way to forming. Not saying we can’t get a big rug pull, but I feel pretty good seeing that 6Z euro run.

6Z out on TT and boy was that op about to destroy us. Like u said looked as good as 0z if not better. I’m happy to have the op trending better at 144.

Seeing a bunch of snow to our SW seems good to me.

Did anyone even post the 6Z EPS? Was it that bad? The 6Z euro op at 144 looked fantastic.

It just seems like another piece of guidance, I think with our snow events this year the euro has definitely done better than the AI especially the closer in we get. I haven’t seen a pattern of the op trending towards it or anything like that. If anything I think it’s the reverse.

This is a long practiced routine lol. Some think it’s funny (I do).

This doesn’t look like a miller b screwjob!!!!

Wait why are we talking about pulling the plug? 12z EPS looked great. AI and GFS aren’t too far off. Still 6 ish days out.

Seems to be 12-24 hours quicker than the Euro.

This looks really good and remarkably cold for mid/late February. In 48 hours if it hasn't gone poof I will legit get excited. It's crazy we're already tracking again just a day after our last event.

What I really like about this is that we have deep cold present at the start, won't be fretting start temps/start time/sun angle as much if we're in the low to mid 20s.

Doesn't look like that to me....very close to a big hit.

It sure does, but with much colder temps.

I'm seeing 6-8 on Pivotal

Big improvement from 6z that's for sure.

Might be a delayed not denied type thing, something brewing after that.

EPS and GEPS have more precip. I do like how we have cold in place again.

Hahaha yes would love the HECS but also would be cool with 2-5 like the gfs shows.

Looking like solid agreement from euro, cmc, gfs for a week out. All give dc accumulating snow. You love to see it let’s back into another moderate event.

It was either an honest mistake or a masterful troll job.

I like seeing a storm in the window. Op evolution basically meaningless at this range. Even the ensembles in unanimous agreement about yesterday’s event from 7 days out missed it.

Pretty good spot to be 200 hours out. let’s see how it looks in a few days

About 6 inches, seasonal total is at 17 inches. Great storm.