SomeguyfromTakomaPark

CMC bombs the low to 951 once they merge.

At least this storm it’s more clear what we need to see at 500. Last storm our ability to tell if a run was good or bad was like zero until the surface maps dropped of the actual storm.

NAM looked like it was about to crush us. so I went and looked on southernwx and it appears one guy downloaded 6 of the 68 member weathernext ensemble before the download glitched. He says all 6 look good for their region and the latest one he posted looks like a blizzard for us.

Oh lord that can’t possibly be the mean is it???

lol we are asking ai to tell us about ai models. What a world!

There is some pretty interesting discussion in the New England forum about this. I’ve been reading Mets in there since the models lost this yesterday explaining why it would come back. They seem pretty confident it’s not done trending.

I’ll be really interested to see those plots. What’s good for the south, to some extent, is probably good for us.

For some reason I’m feeling that way too, we’ll see!

It’s just not that far from a big storm for us, no reason to jump ship completely.

Yeah buts it’s still like a few noise level shifts from a HECS.

If you consider 14 inches for dc back…..yes it’s back.

This is what we’re saying, 100+ hours, complicated stuff. Changes will happen. Would not take this gfs forecast literally or even seriously yet but this is what can happen, powder keg situation with the arctic air. Let’s keep trending.

Small changes, we’re in the game. Stay the course people the upside potential here is big. Let’s get the euro back now.

It’s pretty close to going boom for us….still in the game.

I don’t see any reason to speak very definitively when you’re at approx 120 hours. People were very definitively saying our fail mode was suppression for the last storm not much beyond 120 hours. Things can and do change fast at this range. We’re still in the game.