SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Oh hey that looks pretty good!

This kind of “fail” is much more palatable than our typical miller b nyc or Boston blizzard. Maybe we can still reel in a nice moderate snowfall.

don’t think I’ve ever seen an inverted trough over Shenandoah national park! I expect that to move closer to the coast.

We are just so used to it being right but it has been dethroned imo. I think there’s a better chance it trends to the AI than vice versa.

To me this looks fantastic, doesn’t look like a miller b screw job at all type map. Let’s lock this in.

I dunno why people think the ICON at 100+ hours will be consistent. Let’s keep the ai ensembles on our side til Thursday, get the EPS on board tonight or tomorrow, and then dial the ops in Thursday and Friday.

Anyone have the weathernext? Would love to know how that’s been trending.

The least ai can do for us accurately depict a miller b at 5 day lead before it eventually enslaves us and turns us into batteries.

GEPS looks better at 12z too.

Not worried about the euro, it’s been getting slapped around by its ai cousin from this range all winter. I’m more just worried about the ai shifting this whole thing northeast as we get closer which of course could happen.

AI ensembles look better to me, better MSLP with more west leaning members.

AI ensembles look more juiced through 120, let’s see if that translates for us.

Agree we’ve been burned many times waiting for dynamic cooling, it’s never a guarantee. Hopefully we can actually get this low cranking to make it happen. Ai ensembles out yet? Or perhaps the weathernext? Would like to have those two on our side.

We get it....we all know how this can fail for us, but what do you expect us to do? Not track the storm with the models showing a foot of snow for us? Where's the fun in that? Let us enjoy this, most likely the last big chance of the year. If it fails it fails so be it, but we're still in the game as of 12z.

If you just toggle all the op runs on TT it's pretty crazy the agreement for low position around 138 hours.