SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Looks kinda like it should snow on us based on the gfs progression.

It’ll be interesting to see if we can pull off what the euro is showing for Thursday night. I feel like we had something similar in maybe 2018 or 2019 where we had a coastal pop like that and we got like 10 inches in dc metro but not much north of here. I think in that one it was all snow and there was a gap between round 1 and round 2 and then the radar blossomed right over us.

Normally a low over Baltimore is no bueno for us but since this guy is moving basically due east perhaps can still work.

I agree with @stormtracker that an area wide 3-5 would be better than this narrow nonsense, but we have to take what we can get! Just happy it trended in our sub forum at all though.

Def, but being in the Jack zone at 100+ hours, rarely does it hold. Expect this to wobble a bunch until we get to about 48. But I think someone in our forum jacks.

What could go wrong?

We all know the drill, when the GFS is showing a big storm without support in a marginal airmass, it’s most likely not correct. But hey, u never know!!

Euro is close but without cold air we’re relying on the storm bombing out in the right spot to bring in enough cold air, like the GFS shows.

There is shockingly good agreement in the operational models for the January 18/19 storm for 200+ hours.

Very close for 150+ hours, changes will happen. We’re in the game.

156 looks soooo close to what we need!!

Really close to going boom here, I like the trends.

ICON gonna be so close, need that trough to go negative a little earlier but yeah we're in the game.

That looks good!

Close enough to keep me interested, that's for sure. Yesterday I was talking about punting this window but today has got me back interested.