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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. Because of Ninas post 2016 I'm preemptively writing off this upcoming winter and the one after it since Ninas tend to go back to back. Our next realistic shot for a blockbuster season is winter 2026-2027.
  2. So is there going to be a "what went wrong" writeup about this? Looks like it fizzled out completely.
  3. So how much will the forecasted rain totals be walked back?
  4. Every time I fly out of BWI there's a thunderstorm. In 2021 one delayed me, in 2022 one caused my flight to re route to go around the storm, and last year one hit while I was waiting at the gate. I'll be flying again at 6 am on the 1st, lets see if the streak continues.
  5. After it being 63 three days earlier instead of 73.
  6. A repeat of 22-23 so that way this past winter’s underperformance hurts even more.
  7. Would something like that be announced this far out?
  8. You think we could have an Isabel sequel this year?
  9. It’s weird, we can have 70-80 degree days in January and February but we don’t get 120+ degree days in summer despite it both being 30-ish degrees above normal in their respective times of year.
  10. It could be worse, it could be like Hong Kong when I had to air swim to my Airbnb.
  11. If we weren’t going into a Nina in a few months I would say it would be trying to make a run to top 2018.
  12. GFS precip through the end of the month.
  13. Why can we have significantly BN days in May but not in February?
  14. Let's see ~4 inch YTD surplus in Baltimore 2.83 inch YTD surplus in DC Yeah the bump was premature. Also compare to last year: Most water tables were at August levels and it was the driest YTD ever, a record that stood well into June.
  15. Too bad it’s 14 days away, watch the pattern collapse 5 days from now.
  16. A post from a facebook friend, screenshot redacted for privacy reasons.
  17. Every time the west coast gets atmospheric rivers in the winter it’s mild and snowless here. As soon as the winter week was over in January California got a conga line of atmospheric river storms. Same thing happened last year too, and in 2016-2017. Whatever mechanism causes this is probably one of the things stacked against us.
  18. Niñas almost always double dip. So it’ll be 2026-2027
  19. I can see them moving over to the PDO since that's the one variable that hasn't changed yet.
  20. Still though, the weenies here will be insufferable next winter.
  21. Enjoy the sub freezing nights because that's probably the only lion we're getting from this March.
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