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The Waterboy

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Everything posted by The Waterboy

  1. Same for me. It was some nice mood flakes regardless. Also, is that the RadarScope app? I haven’t forked over $10 for it but thinking about it. Is it worth it? The Weather Channel and Accuweather app radars suck.
  2. This is hilarious. So many inappropriate jokes came to mind when I read that!!!! LOL.
  3. The difference between the 00 HRRR and NAM are crazy. Significant SE shift on the HRRR. Hummmm...
  4. Sounds about right. I agree with that interpretation.
  5. Does “sharper upper level trough” mean further west? I’m not sure how to interpret that.
  6. A 50 mile shift east or west and a couple of degrees up or down will have a big impact on a lot of us. Going to be fun to watch.
  7. Nothing in Bentonville yet but it’s very close if you’re getting some now.
  8. I’ve held out hope until now but looks like it’s time to tap out for those of us in NW AR. Not happening this time. Hopefully you guys north and west cash in.
  9. Thanks for the reminder on looking at the 500 mb vort. I checked it out on all the models for comparison. It’s deep into Northern Mexico and crosses into TX just west of Brownsville. As we’ve stated, the CMC moves it a bit further east before starting the N/NE track. Lots of details to work out in the next 12+ hours especially as the shorter range models come into play.
  10. I could be incorrect but the track of the surface low (especially on the 12z NAM) seems odd. It runs from Brownsville to Houston then due north from Dallas to Tulsa. Not saying it won’t happen that way but it isn’t typical from what I recall. Our best track for snow is roughly Houston to Shreveport to Memphis. Doesn’t look promising. To Jomo’s point, if the west trend continues, frozen precip may end up west of OKC and Wichita.
  11. That ICON run was very similar to the 12z Canadian as far as the track. We’ll see what Canada has for us shortly.
  12. 00z Hrrr is interesting. Snow and ice west of OKC breaking out by H35. Thoughts from anyone?
  13. NAM, CMC, and RDPS continue to be further east with crippling ice. GFS and Euro further west and warmer. ICON is way west and can probably be ignored for now.
  14. You and I get hammered on that Canadian run. The 2009 storm (was 2000 a typo?) was awful. Lots of damage.
  15. The rest of the run after H75 was kind of a hot mess.
  16. Still looking good. Do the ensembles have a lot of ice too?
  17. NAM is just getting into range. 6z had snow breaking out at H84 but the 12z lost it. The next few runs will give a lot more clarity.
  18. If that were to happen verbatim (which we can assume it won’t) we’re talking about catastrophic results in a lot of places. Absolutely insane. My backyard shows .75+ of fz rain, 5+ inches of sleet, and 3+ inches of snow. Wow! And JoMo gets a foot of snow.
  19. Canadian going to be a good run. EDIT: Looks again like a big ice storm for many of us.
  20. The last few runs continue to shift back towards the west. Not sure anyone cares much about the ICON but it splits the difference between the CMC and the GFS and runs the snow up through Eastern OK/NW AR.
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