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The Waterboy

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Everything posted by The Waterboy

  1. The Waterboy
    StormChazer, how did the Euro ENS look? Do they mainly support the OP’s NW shift?
  2. The Waterboy
    Agree totally. Pretty safe if we were betting on the outcome we all would side with Lucy. It’s so difficult to get everything to line up perfectly. It feels like there’s a giant left turn sign between Fort Smith and Little Rock. A majority of these get sooooo close and turn NW just a bit too soon. Time will tell if we can finally end the drought or if we’ve all wasted another week of our lives watching for nothing.... I do keep asking myself why I put myself through this.
  3. The Waterboy
    I think we all agree that leaning towards the Euro is always the best bet this far out. This time the Euro happens to be in our favor. Let’s hope the 12z Euro stays the course.
  4. The Waterboy
    It will be interesting to see if any of us get some flakes from the secondary wave early this afternoon. Looks like a sharp cutoff to the south so we’ll see. I’ll go on a limb and say JoMo gets a 1/2 inch or more.
  5. The Waterboy
    Interesting trend. Most of us still need the southern trend to continue some more.
  6. The Waterboy
    Canadian is further north too.
  7. The Waterboy
    I like that rational.
  8. The Waterboy
    18z GFS with the swing and a miss.
  9. The Waterboy
    Agreed. I was being a bit generic. I-44 and north seems to be the best bet right now. Maybe some counties in NE OK could squeak about warning criteria so we can get that monkey off our backs.
  10. The Waterboy
    Looks to me like the current “consensus” is for Southern MO to have the best chances as it stands. Obviously a LONG way to go. GFS tucking south is a good sign. We’ll see what the Canadian and Euro has to stay. Bottom line is nothing is off the table yet. Edit: As you all just pointed out, nice trend on the Canadian but still what I call an I-44 special.
  11. The Waterboy
    Canadian still doesn’t look too bad. Definitely more in line with the Euro.
  12. The Waterboy
    None of us are surprised with the major difference between the GFS and the Euro. Southern end of measurable snow is Fayetteville on the Euro and Kansas City on the GFS. Only 250 mile difference. And the Canadian splits the uprights. I think we all agree to lean towards the Euro even if it wasn’t currently in our favor.
  13. The Waterboy
    That much fz rain in Dallas would be devastating. Half that is major impacts. Definitely don’t need that right before Christmas.
  14. The Waterboy
    That is massive and nasty!
  15. The Waterboy
    This is depressing. It’s also been 771 days since the Razorbacks won an SEC football game. Both of these streaks can end any time now although football will have to wait another 200+ days.
  16. The Waterboy
    That would be a festivus miracle! The more shocking thing I realized from this is it’s only 384 hrs until Christmas.
  17. The Waterboy
    18z GFS answered your wish around hour 270. Enjoy!
  18. The Waterboy
    Heavy sleet in Bentonville.
  19. The Waterboy
    The HRRR looks a lot more amped than the actual radar. I’m wondering if more precio develops or if models are overdoing it.
  20. The Waterboy
    This is by far the coldest Halloween I can recall in at least a decade. Maybe longer. FYI - I just read that Tulsa has only seen snow in Oct 6 times in the last 119 years. Here’s to hoping this is a great sign of things to come.
  21. The Waterboy
    Welcome back from summer hibernation everyone!!!
  22. The Waterboy
    Also looks like they are all backing off on the rain this afternoon and tonight. Seems to go straight to snow for the most part although we are only looking at 6 hour increments.
  23. The Waterboy
    00z NAM is still a wreck.
  24. The Waterboy
    GFS was jacked up on Mt. Dew.
  25. The Waterboy
    Any idea why those 2 different map views don’t match? The Kansas view shows a large area of 6+ inches in purple. The MO view has the purple in MO only.
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