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Bob Chill

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Everything posted by Bob Chill

  1. Bob Chill
    The slow start/rain appears to have cut into my chances at 2". That was my high bar. Will finish over 1" at least
  2. Bob Chill
    There will be a pivot and it's already happening. Close dc burbs should snow until at least 6pm.
  3. Bob Chill
    Time sensitive. Radar picking up on a snownado near Herndon. https://www.marylandwx.com/radar/klwxstate_br.php
  4. Bob Chill
    Quite the transformation over the last hour in the close burbs. Rates are winning the temp battle.
  5. Bob Chill
    Next 2 hours had the best h7 frontogen rolling through CMD. Radar trends imply those progs are correct
  6. Bob Chill
    Best rates of the day but still mod not heavy. Roofs/grass etc caved.
  7. Bob Chill
    I'm not sure where we would go from the end of the 12z EPS but there was nice uptick in legit storms between the 18-21st. Another solid run in the books.
  8. Bob Chill
    Wintry appeal rapidly overtaking. Legit dendrites and grass just starting to cave. 34
  9. Bob Chill
    Back edge to the W of Winchester should pivot/back build as it pulls out. SLP is deepening and drawing in colder air.
  10. Bob Chill
    Yea, could be proximity to the beam changes accuracy? Anyways, 100% snow and seeing some decent dendrites. Winds just turned out of the north. The mix line seems to be following the wind shift line. Makes sense.
  11. Bob Chill
    This radar seems to be dead accurate with R/S mix line https://www.marylandwx.com/radar/klwxstate_br.php
  12. Bob Chill
    Temp just dipped below 35 and 100% snow... finally. Need some fronto love now.
  13. Bob Chill
    Surface this morning was a loud clue. Once I hit 41 I knew I wouldn't start off with all snow. Finally just about 100% snow. We'll see what happens.
  14. Bob Chill
    Still a light mix 50/50 -ra/sn but temp just dopped to 36. Inbound yellows BETTER BE SNOW DAMMIT
  15. Bob Chill
    50/50 sn/ra mix in Rockville. Looks like I should be good for the heavies.
  16. Bob Chill
    Looks like it's either already or about to dump in Manassas
  17. Bob Chill
    That area dropped from 39 to 34 in 30 minutes once the heavies moved in. Just starting to mix in my yard @ 38. Going as planned so far...
  18. Bob Chill
    Herdon area has dropped 2-4 degrees in the last 30 mins once the rates picked up. Now mid 30's after being in the low 40s earlier.
  19. Bob Chill
    SW of us had the benefit of great timing with precip early in the AM. We're dealing with exactly what we were thinking yesterday... Boundary layer will be annoying...
  20. Bob Chill
    Numerous reports 1-2.5" showing up west of 81 in VA/WVA
  21. Bob Chill
    Stupid GEFS reverted back to the trough west/ridge east. The difference between the GEFS and EPS is quite large right now. Even with the crappy looks late, there a # of solutions with snowfall including some real storms. Back in Dec when a good pattern showed up d10-15 there were hardly any storms on the ens but not the case right now. I'll just keep huggin the EPS. It's busy d10-15 and hopefully we are too.
  22. Bob Chill
    Dropped to 39 in the last 5 mins. Prob need to be around 36 before all snow takes over. Boundary warmth is legit but really shallow (thank god).
  23. Bob Chill
    40 and light rain in rockville... Hurry up and wait for the flip...
  24. Bob Chill
    Starting to see lines of yellow organizing in CVA west of 95. SLP is starting to crank a little.
  25. Bob Chill
    Man, that finger of fronto/lift through central MD is going to be pretty sweet here shortly. Omegas/DGZ on the soundings are impressive.. OB: 40 and virga
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